TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Golden Knights, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x021c…b735backed Golden Knights71c21,055$15,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,011.441752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers28c8,154$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,883.2292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers21c5,039$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,980.9144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Rangers28c4,466$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.1832331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Golden Knights79c3,956$3,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,125.11560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed Rangers46c3,200$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7281442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Golden Knights54c3,200$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.981947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Rangers50c2,811$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.713650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Rangers30c2,254$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.4485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers24c2,010$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5181,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22035545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Golden Knights79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79010739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights58c1,000$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.7685148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights56c583.57$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5249351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Rangers45c552.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.184252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers47c504.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.7872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Golden Knights56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Rangers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Rangers45c499.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9813756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights51c450.37$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.81,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights57c387.07$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22223761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights68c372.28$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.921,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.2591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Rangers45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.993225%8 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cca…a0bebacked Rangers46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Golden Knights54c255$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.71050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…8b1dbacked Rangers46c255$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…cefebacked Golden Knights54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Golden Knights57c247.85$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…8dfbbacked Rangers45c219.84$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Rangers46c218.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4822246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…ae2bbacked Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf8…d6d9backed Rangers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ed…44b0backed Golden Knights56c200.04$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Rangers24c187.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.626137.7%23 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers13c180$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.721,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Rangers37c179.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.199553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf3…5bd4backed Golden Knights56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights55c169.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights57c156.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9028542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8d…9901backed Golden Knights56c154.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Rangers43c149.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.799251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Rangers44c149.04$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.452133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed Rangers44c147.91$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.833452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0ee…e85dbacked Golden Knights63c146.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.73425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5161…771ebacked Rangers46c141.4$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.631947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893c…9ed2backed Rangers45c140.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c02…c1a7backed Rangers41c138.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4a50backed Rangers45c134.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…b190backed Rangers46c130.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Golden Knights78c130$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.42661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Golden Knights13c127.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Rangers45c126.92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.812356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbed…c35ebacked Rangers46c126.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf735…74a7backed Rangers45c125.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb9…ee09backed Rangers46c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8982…c934backed Rangers45c121.38$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b23…e7ccbacked Rangers46c120.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.322373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3573157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf835…28d3backed Golden Knights56c119.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…eb0abacked Golden Knights57c119.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.362254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed1a…9c17backed Rangers46c119.91$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.071040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e5…f14dbacked Golden Knights55c118.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.44837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b1c…18e9backed Golden Knights56c118.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Golden Knights56c118.57$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcae5…876dbacked Golden Knights55c118.55$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.22060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d28…b20ebacked Golden Knights55c118.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Golden Knights56c117.68$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Golden Knights56c117.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.881866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Rangers46c114.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.941553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd873…694bbacked Rangers12c113.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+143.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2210…2656backed Golden Knights57c112.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.191136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Rangers46c112.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Golden Knights56c111$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.161546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Golden Knights57c110.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.912433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe739…d2a5backed Golden Knights56c108.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Rangers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.77062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked Rangers46c108.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…4e59backed Rangers46c107.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9643…376cbacked Rangers44c107.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…1282backed Golden Knights57c107.65$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Golden Knights56c107.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.221637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Golden Knights57c106$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.922240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8287…4684backed Rangers46c105.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Golden Knights56c105.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5f4…e5f6backed Golden Knights57c104.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3bc…bfccbacked Golden Knights56c103.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Rangers45c103.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.046357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x98d2…8ebfbacked Rangers44c102.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…bf79backed Rangers44c102.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.242365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rangers44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc2…61d3backed Rangers46c101.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d5…c1fcbacked Rangers46c101.05$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Rangers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5627643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5550049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a60…5d6ebacked Golden Knights57c99.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights54c98.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4681846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0728…0c70backed Rangers45c98.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb222…2241backed Golden Knights57c97.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.