Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5725fa7eb459352b0af04801928f4109c3e4fc36f255995accfa30f50fc0f093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x737a…1699backed No | 41c | 114,213$46,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,385.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…2b88backed Yes | 60c | 110,636$66,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,596.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 34c | 38,547$13,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,530.07 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 36c | 24,512$8,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,794.86 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed Yes | 67c | 19,175$12,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 63c | 10,717$6,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 52c | 9,798$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.23 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 67c | 9,442$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,330.78 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Yes | 70c | 8,789$6,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 32c | 8,112$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,478.93 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 24c | 6,725$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.23 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Yes | 70c | 6,421$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 27c | 4,442$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.79 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 4,018$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.81 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked No | 30c | 3,381$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 30c | 3,161$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.41 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…7e48backed Yes | 66c | 2,997$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 35c | 2,450$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.99 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e996backed No | 31c | 2,254$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.86 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…db9abacked Yes | 70c | 1,782$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 38c | 1,775$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 33c | 1,504$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.7 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 32c | 1,489$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,446$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 30c | 1,444$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 36c | 1,432$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.63 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 58c | 1,304$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 63c | 1,040$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 35c | 1,029$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.07 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 942.38$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes | 70c | 906.43$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 67c | 828.36$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 35c | 741.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 56c | 600$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 580.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.03 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 6c | 555$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…7439backed Yes | 69c | 520.64$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed Yes | 70c | 435.5$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 65c | 432.75$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…89b8backed No | 33c | 420.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 35c | 403.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 55c | 400$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 64c | 398.44$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Yes | 67c | 370.15$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Yes | 58c | 370$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes | 69c | 360.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa389…40dfbacked Yes | 69c | 350.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…f976backed Yes | 73c | 336.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked No | 32c | 312.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e6…84ffbacked No | 32c | 307.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…3474backed Yes | 69c | 287.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 58c | 282.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 71c | 279.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 32c | 276.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.06 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…771ebacked Yes | 69c | 274.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…f00fbacked Yes | 69c | 269.35$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…738cbacked No | 32c | 264.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ae…2ecdbacked Yes | 69c | 246.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 39c | 239.82$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed No | 31c | 239.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 34c | 229.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.45 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Yes | 68c | 229.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb27…a968backed Yes | 69c | 228.58$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Yes | 68c | 224.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…74a7backed No | 32c | 217.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…bde1backed No | 38c | 215.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…e283backed Yes | 70c | 213.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…2958backed Yes | 70c | 211.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…5987backed Yes | 69c | 204.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 37c | 198.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…f9a1backed Yes | 64c | 182.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 35c | 180.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9e…8d25backed Yes | 69c | 173.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…3a0abacked Yes | 69c | 172.68$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 64c | 170.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 77c | 162.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec84…a290backed Yes | 69c | 161.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…ae42backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 63c | 160.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba52…527abacked Yes | 70c | 155.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…79d9backed Yes | 62c | 154.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…057ebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Yes | 69c | 150.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…61d5backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-12?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.