MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0e80d0a256ced790411dc9d4b28a3309af334c7440146a3607b90fc25bc405
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $423,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies | 32c | 289,618$92,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,242.6 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 68c | 88,888$60,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,443.84 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Reds | 68c | 54,842$37,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,292.56 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Reds | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Reds | 68c | 31,989$21,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,752.52 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reds | 70c | 29,534$20,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,674.07 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Reds | 70c | 17,678$12,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,388 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 71c | 12,176$8,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,597 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 30c | 11,895$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,326.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 23c | 11,639$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 68c | 8,570$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.15 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 64c | 7,747$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 69c | 7,103$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.28 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Rockies | 71c | 7,081$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.99 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 56c | 5,626$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.72 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 31c | 4,799$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.49 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockies | 59c | 4,654$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.52 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rockies | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.01 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Rockies | 80c | 2,645$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 56c | 2,232$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 25c | 2,027$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.6 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.93 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 61c | 1,553$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 67c | 1,418$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Rockies | 52c | 1,336$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.08 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 17c | 1,127$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 68c | 1,111$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.48 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Reds | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 30c | 999.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.94 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 68c | 976.45$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.66 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 48c | 975.57$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Reds | 67c | 888.35$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.19 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies | 31c | 794.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.7 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 32c | 774.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.21 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 32c | 680$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.37 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Reds | 35c | 666.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e41…364bbacked Rockies | 60c | 522.64$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Reds | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 32c | 498.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies | 43c | 467$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Rockies | 66c | 455.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 32c | 452$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.36 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies | 29c | 407.16$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.32 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…b0b5backed Reds | 67c | 378$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Rockies | 35c | 372.46$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Reds | 70c | 371.43$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rockies | 27c | 370$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 68c | 352.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rockies | 31c | 346.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.27 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…94c1backed Rockies | 34c | 334$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockies | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…e679backed Reds | 67c | 317$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Rockies | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…7a65backed Reds | 67c | 303.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…7ffabacked Reds | 52c | 292.62$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…69bbbacked Rockies | 34c | 287$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Reds | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…e6f5backed Rockies | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds | 70c | 274.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Reds | 71c | 236.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Reds | 68c | 235$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies | 40c | 233.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Reds | 67c | 226.87$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.69 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 69c | 220$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 65c | 206.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…ea1fbacked Reds | 67c | 205$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Rockies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 66c | 196.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 75c | 194$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.06 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Reds | 52c | 190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…3373backed Reds | 23c | 174.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 63c | 162.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 39c | 149.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Reds | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 68c | 147.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rockies | 34c | 145.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Reds | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…dd89backed Rockies | 31c | 143.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Reds | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Rockies | 34c | 141.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Rockies | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rockies | 31c | 125.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 31c | 125.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…e5f6backed Rockies | 33c | 124.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +140.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…288dbacked Reds | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…c71bbacked Rockies | 34c | 119$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Reds | 61c | 116.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 19c | 105.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Reds | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…7d49backed Reds | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Reds | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Rockies | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.