TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Grizzlies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Suns, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$568,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 635 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdf1…8428backed Suns38c84,659$32,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,170.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53f…8707backed Grizzlies62c84,659$52,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,170.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies74c51,845$38,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,408.547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Suns35c30,704$10,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,735.7333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Grizzlies63c17,936$11,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,648.651,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Suns40c17,251$6,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,910.582832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Suns25c13,675$3,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,481.971,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Suns0c11,909$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6234524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns19c11,496$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.1570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.871,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Grizzlies57c9,871$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,200.147647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies78c9,503$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.51,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Suns44c8,882$3,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,896.9420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns2c6,319$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.371,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Grizzlies49c5,792$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,982.4819152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Grizzlies63c5,694$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.8725845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Suns64c5,171$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.164766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Suns0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Grizzlies80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies56c4,783$2,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Grizzlies56c4,599$2,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.3234532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies48c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Suns25c3,834$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.54261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8661…1e06backed Suns41c3,647$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783f…3cc7backed Suns42c3,620$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Suns27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns2c2,870$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.058783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe232…6093backed Grizzlies59c2,529$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Suns40c2,501$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies69c2,488$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.9261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3091…dafdbacked Grizzlies59c2,433$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Grizzlies54c2,431$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.426253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1594…8e03backed Grizzlies59c2,367$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Suns64c2,241$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.2747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Suns20c2,232$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies58c2,210$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.2962351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies50c2,160$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.8966744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Suns35c2,050$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.053540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Grizzlies62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Grizzlies63c2,000$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74217546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Suns1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c40…5f2cbacked Grizzlies61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Suns39c1,999$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Suns42c1,815$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.151650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies60c1,771$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.8761835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Suns6c1,738$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4313920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Suns29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Suns35c1,682$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.3613731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Suns7c1,606$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7127735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns49c1,574$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7721,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Suns45c1,526$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Suns39c1,406$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Suns1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Grizzlies57c1,372$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.8216537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Suns39c1,348$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.2985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Suns43c1,320$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.4613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies61c1,275$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.9150453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…3589backed Grizzlies79c1,270$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.62988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Suns40c1,263$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3368…f2eabacked Grizzlies61c1,145$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns57c1,110$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefb…d354backed Suns39c1,108$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Grizzlies46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9616633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Grizzlies61c1,074$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2815365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e9…fd77backed Suns31c1,032$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32011138.7%43 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Suns24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.9932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns38c992$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.611,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Suns6c985.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Suns39c942.95$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.7470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Grizzlies61c905.69$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9345743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b33abacked Grizzlies35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5852540%10 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…3af3backed Grizzlies73c872.42$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.752147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Grizzlies40c817.71$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.343450%17 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Suns43c809.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.922955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4519944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Grizzlies60c754.95$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies58c735$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Suns18c720.83$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7136747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies59c700$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28436434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42751037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Suns42c694.47$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies60c671.76$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies55c620$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.66139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Grizzlies63c597.04$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5821450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Grizzlies58c594.96$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9318354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns38c561.43$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.261,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Suns28c550$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.5325536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9e…97c0backed Grizzlies62c540$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1375…480abacked Grizzlies55c507.44$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Suns51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Grizzlies62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19019838.9%77 W · 121 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x542b…4b76backed Suns50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b6…4dc1backed Grizzlies63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Suns40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Grizzlies59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Grizzlies62c499.94$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9840448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Grizzlies55c436.36$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3638942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.