TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0344…a65ebacked Senators53c11,125$5,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,234.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers47c7,807$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.5292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb8…0035backed Senators52c6,927$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Senators51c5,621$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.291,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Senators53c5,620$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,619.587044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Senators54c4,622$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.011258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Flyers47c4,182$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.2522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers47c3,468$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.0949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers48c2,536$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.264242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…24fabacked Flyers49c2,416$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.9520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe654…b727backed Senators51c2,416$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x736e…1fd3backed Flyers49c2,316$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x929e…7778backed Flyers48c2,316$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3038…b804backed Flyers49c2,300$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers46c2,270$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.741,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Flyers1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers43c1,751$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.2732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dd…a1d9backed Senators52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Flyers48c1,499$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers47c1,419$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.9837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…1f3cbacked Senators54c1,106$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers46c1,001$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.31,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers48c1,000$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.6797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7a…8b82backed Senators52c999.94$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x599d…2ceabacked Flyers50c907.89$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Flyers48c835.38$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x011f…c024backed Flyers48c785$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Senators51c749.96$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd348…0c07backed Flyers48c653$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.441250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Flyers49c616.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers46c599.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flyers46c503.28$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Senators50c458.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.861,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x235c…8c1abacked Flyers48c438.6$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.537256.9%41 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Flyers47c370$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf0…03b7backed Senators52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f9…ec50backed Senators52c333$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.841080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e58…5b3ebacked Flyers48c333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…336dbacked Senators52c328$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f38…f370backed Senators52c328$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85d2…fcf1backed Flyers48c328$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7e…31d7backed Flyers48c328$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Flyers47c322.95$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.844235.7%15 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers48c320.5$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Flyers49c315.59$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33a…454abacked Senators52c313$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.241471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x004b…004abacked Flyers48c307$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.361070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa769…f52dbacked Senators52c307$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.361154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be5…3651backed Senators52c303$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x768b…4ac3backed Flyers48c303$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Senators51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers48c298.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Senators56c285.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2de4…548fbacked Senators54c268.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed Senators52c256.73$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.232166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b85…f51cbacked Senators52c256$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Senators53c246.7$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Senators53c239.45$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.541963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed Flyers49c236.63$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Flyers47c235.55$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4116437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50a…0eb1backed Senators53c234.07$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Flyers33c233.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Flyers26c232$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.324555.6%25 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…6045backed Flyers48c232$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b6…d6b1backed Flyers49c223.92$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Flyers48c218.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.142133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec05…5fb3backed Flyers48c215.54$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed Flyers47c203.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Senators53c203.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.781546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Flyers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52da…c1f6backed Senators52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a38…438cbacked Flyers49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb4…0215backed Flyers49c199.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.891650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers31c196.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x855a…0985backed Flyers49c195.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.951850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce19…08a6backed Flyers49c178.2$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b62…ef31backed Senators54c176.65$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Senators52c172.13$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.622433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…480fbacked Flyers49c163.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489f…aadfbacked Senators53c154.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers46c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab95…61a1backed Senators53c149.46$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.817248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…8239backed Flyers49c146.69$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.881361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…df2abacked Flyers48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Flyers49c143.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dd…e156backed Flyers49c142.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.612240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8be4…bec9backed Senators69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5b…07f1backed Senators54c133.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.892259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad2…9b03backed Flyers48c120.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Flyers48c118.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfb…bea8backed Flyers48c118.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed Senators52c118.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7420…633ebacked Flyers47c114.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Senators54c113.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.541770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Flyers49c111.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.442751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bb…452dbacked Senators53c110.45$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…9526backed Flyers48c107.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.