TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$375,188
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$382,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,188 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7096…e019backed Mavericks0c78,445$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.4430061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Mavericks46c38,397$17,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,831.847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings71c34,974$24,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,061.3247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks31c30,151$9,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,207.9933931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Kings51c19,711$10,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,696.7211656.9%66 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Kings70c16,927$11,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.8522049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings54c13,419$7,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.820248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks34c10,025$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,408.580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Mavericks11c8,000$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88129747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks17c7,578$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.83,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Mavericks8c7,550$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.983745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Mavericks44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.897860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings53c6,226$3,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.781,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Mavericks49c3,898$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.1711952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kings56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.4366153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Kings67c3,374$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.585151%26 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Mavericks48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53617546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Kings52c3,132$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.3325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mavericks48c3,039$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.4240448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Kings56c2,934$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.8130251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks3c2,363$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.978783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Mavericks45c2,198$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings54c2,090$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.46358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Kings69c2,003$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings51c2,000$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.451,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks49c1,957$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9330440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Mavericks49c1,933$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.1713638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Kings53c1,599$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.677647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Mavericks8c1,588$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1279827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings50c1,587$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.4977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mavericks11c1,571$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Kings61c1,570$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.2261851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Kings68c1,525$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.493435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Mavericks40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Kings49c1,431$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.938536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Mavericks47c1,406$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d7…4b48backed Kings54c1,404$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.7785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+92%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58ed…e601backed Mavericks47c1,403$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6a…96b9backed Kings56c1,377$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks29c1,369$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.5270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc4…cae6backed Kings55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa5…f7b9backed Mavericks45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.941225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Mavericks48c1,058$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6845743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Mavericks30c1,044$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.123119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks49c999.99$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings66c999.98$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.991,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks44c999.89$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9532130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings55c991.88$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.8819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings53c954.66$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.691,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mavericks45c950.93$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.9220047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bd7…1540backed Mavericks52c903.56$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4688…a6b7backed Mavericks33c899.52$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks51c886.84$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.182,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5899…d29dbacked Kings53c859.99$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings53c818.78$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.0750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Mavericks45c799.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings66c769.09$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.165,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Kings54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7412759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks51c705$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.7585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1636…8c6abacked Mavericks29c678.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings55c599.96$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks50c590.86$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2989131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Mavericks52c577.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3210246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d1…a0aebacked Kings50c571.34$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Kings55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4517363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Kings56c540.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.376848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Kings50c508.36$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3617943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings54c506.99$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.2157760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Mavericks48c500.21$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Kings66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mavericks25c478.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9936751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279f…4aabbacked Mavericks46c478.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kings65c472.76$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5134532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc41f…bf4abacked Mavericks46c461.72$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings52c461.25$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d5a…8be4backed Mavericks46c456.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283b…588ebacked Mavericks45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Mavericks45c439.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2046…0e2cbacked Kings49c407.1$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18468642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c2…e10cbacked Mavericks52c386.73$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303e…876cbacked Mavericks52c384.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Kings54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3713959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Kings54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3712659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f8…4d29backed Kings56c367.77$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.821833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Kings56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1426640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks42c319.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9870951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1a…ad9cbacked Kings49c316.39$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…0ee5backed Kings49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1228651.4%147 W · 139 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…bdb8backed Kings49c304.63$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mavericks51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15330351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Mavericks52c299.92$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9650453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…5b55backed Kings49c290.29$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings54c290$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.422955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb5…d5f2backed Mavericks47c290$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.