TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Canadiens55c19,250$10,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,567.847758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Wild45c14,674$6,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,070.5835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ed…54e5backed Canadiens58c8,400$4,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,87220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Canadiens16c8,386$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.3132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbc…07dbbacked Wild42c4,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad8…da84backed Wild42c3,900$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Wild46c2,384$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.462050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens54c2,195$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.931,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Wild45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Canadiens54c1,614$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.613756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa73…4c3abacked Canadiens54c1,485$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.95450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Canadiens53c1,410$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.42875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Canadiens55c1,336$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8211145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Wild46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7022339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked Canadiens54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.872040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Wild44c1,250$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild43c1,124$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6629847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Wild46c1,078$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.882619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-47.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens14c1,052$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.881,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Canadiens57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5702055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Wild44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Canadiens56c999.96$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens31c845.36$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Canadiens58c844.27$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.685450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Canadiens8c771.37$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9314949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Wild44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3923145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wild46c651.97$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Wild44c569.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…206abacked Canadiens56c488.39$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.51154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens56c466.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.511,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens21c454.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9641340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild46c438$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5275155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Wild48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6722246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Wild42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2328537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Wild45c333.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.34825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Wild47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.158744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Wild45c299.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.966149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild47c233.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wild44c230.37$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0120540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Wild45c220.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4645954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc25…d781backed Wild69c220$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…da21backed Canadiens54c214.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf896…1ee3backed Wild48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeaa…69f3backed Wild48c212.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…f541backed Canadiens54c212.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Wild44c204.55$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5518136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild42c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Wild43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…aa79backed Wild44c163.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.643423.5%8 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8bca…16bfbacked Canadiens57c163.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wild46c163$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Wild46c162.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8848149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Wild74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.217054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Canadiens56c148.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.089251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dcc…9426backed Canadiens55c147.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x109f…1c5bbacked Wild46c131.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Wild44c130.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.212653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b4…913bbacked Wild43c118.19$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.37850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Wild44c118.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.121637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01f9…d2a7backed Canadiens57c117.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Canadiens56c114.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2de4…548fbacked Canadiens57c114.74$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.41741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Canadiens57c114.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.381457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Wild44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79d1…b373backed Wild46c111.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ba…e848backed Canadiens56c111.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Wild45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1110744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…ad6ebacked Wild45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c57…8fb0backed Wild45c110.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+80.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05ca…50c3backed Wild44c110.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed Canadiens57c109.85$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe539…a3afbacked Wild44c108.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Canadiens57c105.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.141968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Canadiens57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Wild48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.177062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Wild44c102.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.672433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2fb…783fbacked Canadiens57c102.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Wild45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Wild47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Wild42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5827643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Wild44c94.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.081844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce8…83fabacked Canadiens55c94.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf70d…82c2backed Canadiens53c92.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf74…1a7abacked Wild48c86.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens55c85.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked Canadiens58c75.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wild43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Wild47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4718259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Wild45c67.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.191,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a83…1babbacked Wild80c65.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.113100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e5…5b1dbacked Wild45c58.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Wild43c57.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8849351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Wild44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8219852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Wild45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.568445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc663…4aa8backed Canadiens54c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…9a70backed Wild48c54.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…b972backed Wild70c54.59$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.386471.9%46 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…94d6backed Wild43c53.49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.491844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.