NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf6f5a26730eaa7dafd249e6363ce8e09706d06856809888a92ca5aa4245638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 79c | 3,299$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.98 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,833$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 47c | 2,469$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Rangers | 50c | 2,148$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.55 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,070$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 2,002$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Rangers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rangers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.91 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 44c | 1,986$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.48 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 23c | 1,443$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 51c | 1,001$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.27 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…63febacked Rangers | 48c | 937.15$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec16…07f9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 46c | 923.38$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.82 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…5f46backed Rangers | 32c | 750.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers | 49c | 704.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.77 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 16c | 674.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…4628backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 654.11$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 645.04$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 570.02$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Rangers | 48c | 535.65$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 499.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 497.95$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…d4d2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 472.66$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…5729backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 467.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3a…0a11backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 333.34$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…f430backed Rangers | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Rangers | 46c | 285.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…baa8backed Rangers | 47c | 269.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 264.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 217$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…fd12backed Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…9841backed Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…2ef7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 204.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…71b3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 201.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed Rangers | 48c | 185$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…e564backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 185$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 177.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 164.15$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 157.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824e…a9b6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 154.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Rangers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 148.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 137.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 136.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…a0a0backed Rangers | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3435backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 124.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +68%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f44…d2dfbacked Rangers | 48c | 111.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 110.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2492…bc8bbacked Rangers | 48c | 103.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 103.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5656…855fbacked Rangers | 48c | 103.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…7034backed Rangers | 48c | 100.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f90…ed1cbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…4764backed Rangers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 99.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…0621backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 99.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85e…b18fbacked Rangers | 48c | 98.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…afa9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 98.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 97.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…394fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 97.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x184c…6828backed Rangers | 48c | 97.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…4133backed Rangers | 48c | 95.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…abf8backed Rangers | 48c | 94.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Rangers | 48c | 93.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…4f77backed Rangers | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…d126backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 93.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…4c0bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 92.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b2…8608backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 92.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…b775backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 91.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…25cbbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 91.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Rangers | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…f042backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 89.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…14acbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 88.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…71bebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 85.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…c2b5backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 84.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…c463backed Rangers | 48c | 82.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…afc9backed Rangers | 48c | 81.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3781…b822backed Rangers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rangers | 48c | 76.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…bf99backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 75.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…2720backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…f2d9backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.