TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x089a…5729

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41%+$67.79
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.27
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$2,649.43
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.29
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,318.72
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+115.2%+$1,422.51
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$105.87
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$361.47
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.05
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.73
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,113.38
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.09
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$134.92
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+194.1%+$88.73
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$45.64
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60.43
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+94.9%+$56.9
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+203.9%+$246.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.9
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+88.7%+$219.85
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$114.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$58.22
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,536.95
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,812.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$64.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$93.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+66.2%+$610.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$198.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Europa Conference League Final: Real Betis vs. Chelseabacked Real Betis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.