Ukraine · resolved market
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0acc3ef6710e933b96b877c4f74dcf16affb0ce71ce46c68a2de783c211fd3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,748,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,910,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 8c | 241,777$18,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,722.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…f196backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 0c | 99,800$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…3066backed No | 1c | 98,026$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 45c | 96,992$43,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,536.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…d8aebacked No | 4c | 86,195$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 6c | 82,523$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…e319backed Yes | 76c | 63,955$48,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,358.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…b93abacked No | 1c | 63,440$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed No | 2c | 58,601$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 47c | 56,065$26,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,941.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…6a84backed No | 0c | 54,278$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 3c | 52,982$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.08 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 51,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.31 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…d132backed No | 0c | 48,780$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 1c | 44,573$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…c448backed No | 0c | 44,544$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c62…9b49backed No | 0c | 42,380$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 52c | 39,621$20,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,835.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 39,370$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.77 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…6cf5backed No | 8c | 39,361$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…2891backed No | 2c | 37,276$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e492backed No | 1c | 36,818$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 34c | 36,488$12,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,503.84 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 1c | 35,088$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked No | 2c | 34,028$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.52 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…bd9bbacked No | 1c | 33,588$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 1c | 33,000$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 32c | 32,064$10,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,278.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be8…0ef2backed No | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7830…783fbacked No | 22c | 30,757$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,751.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…85d7backed No | 2c | 29,860$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 6c | 29,673$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.94 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…b529backed No | 0c | 27,489$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 9c | 27,318$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89e…66e1backed No | 1c | 25,952$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 1c | 22,141$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 76c | 21,838$16,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed No | 19c | 21,596$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 1c | 21,020$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5352backed No | 1c | 20,168$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…feb5backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 6c | 19,738$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.05 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 1c | 19,527$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed No | 1c | 19,496$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…5279backed No | 0c | 19,306$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 1c | 19,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed No | 44c | 18,674$8,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,308.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked No | 3c | 18,355$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 16c | 18,037$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 7c | 18,000$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 17,167$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…b854backed No | 1c | 16,400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 67c | 16,266$10,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,903.04 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b2…4874backed No | 6c | 16,140$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…f545backed Yes | 64c | 15,660$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,659.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…b371backed No | 1c | 15,456$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…0261backed No | 26c | 14,850$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed No | 12c | 14,191$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.99 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…2a2abacked No | 3c | 14,034$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 30c | 13,606$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.07 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…f844backed No | 1c | 13,157$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked No | 6c | 13,100$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…ec4bbacked No | 0c | 13,018$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…4a78backed No | 2c | 12,757$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 1c | 12,657$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03e…09a5backed No | 1c | 12,608$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 1c | 12,286$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.86 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked No | 1c | 12,154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…b2f5backed No | 1c | 12,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…5ddabacked No | 1c | 11,899$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…602cbacked No | 3c | 11,799$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 3c | 11,754$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…7095backed No | 5c | 11,396$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed No | 1c | 11,233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 1c | 10,846$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 50c | 10,820$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.41 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…97e7backed No | 1c | 10,546$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 20c | 10,147$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.32 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 18c | 10,029$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 50c | 10,012$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.25 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…d2f6backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 4c | 10,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc748…aaa4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed No | 1c | 10,000$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed No | 1c | 9,967$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…ab3fbacked No | 48c | 9,559$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed No | 22c | 9,461$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f01bbacked No | 0c | 8,329$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 46c | 8,129$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.45 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070e…9dc8backed No | 2c | 8,110$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 28c | 8,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…40d4backed No | 48c | 7,937$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 61c | 7,895$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,101.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…3ccbbacked No | 0c | 7,775$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…36d8backed No | 2c | 7,752$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 77c | 7,577$5,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.88 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…e070backed Yes | 67c | 7,455$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd330…e9e8backed No | 62c | 7,380$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.