Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1bd18c2e34f82daf04485029d16017f79914fc273d8a8a6bab02a2fdbeeb29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $900,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $907,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8c2…c9c4backed No | 69c | 107,143$73,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,214.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…807ebacked Yes | 31c | 107,143$33,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,214.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…3fb9backed Yes | 20c | 68,849$13,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,769.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…7e43backed No | 80c | 68,838$55,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,767.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…9a46backed Yes | 17c | 54,590$9,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,280.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 74c | 13,869$10,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.16 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…e789backed Yes | 26c | 13,101$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 80c | 13,012$10,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.99 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 74c | 12,489$9,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.51 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 9,926$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.56 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 39c | 9,751$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 34c | 8,752$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 66c | 7,918$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.49 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 20c | 7,001$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.68 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 67c | 6,832$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.8 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 7c | 6,601$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.92 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 6,600$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac8…96d2backed Yes | 33c | 6,545$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.41 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 68c | 5,880$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.42 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…a678backed Yes | 20c | 5,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 5c | 5,281$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…70a7backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 30c | 4,547$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.85 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 33c | 4,501$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.23 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 32c | 4,303$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.13 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 70c | 4,081$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.66 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 70c | 3,842$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.1 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,601$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 19c | 3,534$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.45 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 10c | 3,106$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.77 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,046$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 63c | 2,962$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.77 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,945$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…d678backed Yes | 17c | 2,719$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 65c | 2,626$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.96 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3eabbacked Yes | 4c | 2,446$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 16c | 2,312$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,135$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.15 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 2,077$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…0f5dbacked Yes | 17c | 2,015$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de6…05debacked Yes | 27c | 1,990$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 8c | 1,957$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…2f28backed Yes | 33c | 1,954$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…9769backed Yes | 8c | 1,859$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.71 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 53c | 1,750$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 28c | 1,731$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x89f4…9fd5backed Yes | 18c | 1,603$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed No | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 69c | 1,356$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.13 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…b618backed Yes | 25c | 1,299$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…06a2backed Yes | 18c | 1,186$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,175$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 58c | 1,118$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,089$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…9f53backed Yes | 18c | 1,056$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 65c | 1,013$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.93 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed No | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 18c | 999.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 14c | 985.38$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 9c | 949.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 66c | 941.32$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 34c | 933.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 26c | 901.52$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.41 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…9325backed Yes | 21c | 857.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 36c | 848.46$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 35c | 840.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 8c | 833.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 18c | 828.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 68c | 800.54$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…9f7ebacked Yes | 18c | 786$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 29c | 780$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 72c | 752.55$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 8c | 748.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 67c | 718.23$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…0acebacked Yes | 21c | 716.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 29c | 712$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 3c | 699.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…1fbfbacked Yes | 33c | 666.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 32c | 665.98$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 62c | 661.48$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…e2efbacked Yes | 8c | 635.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 12c | 631.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…dc30backed Yes | 50c | 608.65$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 67c | 595.88$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 8c | 588.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 8c | 578$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 8c | 578$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 20c | 577$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 35c | 574.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0a…5e93backed No | 64c | 563.77$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.