World Politics · resolved market
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f531e7088e7da29626e152d60566aa71a4a078b6ae6b7215577a963edc376c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,274,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,153,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 6c | 100,200$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.18 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…3e00backed No | 65c | 94,000$61,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed Yes | 35c | 94,000$32,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…1146backed Yes | 43c | 89,867$38,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,643.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bf…6f28backed No | 57c | 89,857$51,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,638.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…4320backed Yes | 43c | 49,645$21,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,175.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…e696backed Yes | 54c | 39,235$21,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,186.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…d280backed No | 46c | 39,235$18,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,186.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2f…8baebacked Yes | 63c | 36,379$22,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,753.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 59c | 29,426$17,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,307.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 31c | 28,737$8,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,770.22 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Yes | 1c | 19,566$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 47c | 18,251$8,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.93 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 42c | 17,757$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.64 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Yes | 36c | 15,569$5,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8403…79a1backed Yes | 56c | 15,333$8,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,641.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 38c | 13,170$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.75 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…9e21backed Yes | 7c | 10,311$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,923$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 33c | 8,432$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.09 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…9f32backed Yes | 43c | 8,375$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 11c | 6,493$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.78 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…1925backed No | 64c | 6,415$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 44c | 6,150$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.23 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 60c | 5,202$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,140.49 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 53c | 4,967$2,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.52 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 9c | 4,719$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.48 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed Yes | 47c | 4,610$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 56c | 4,452$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.31 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 53c | 4,429$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.93 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 45c | 4,067$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.66 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…2315backed Yes | 12c | 4,008$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…14babacked Yes | 52c | 3,903$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 43c | 3,584$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.24 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 56c | 3,564$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 62c | 3,550$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.31 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes | 28c | 3,413$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…5553backed Yes | 22c | 3,241$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.52 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 65c | 3,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 58c | 3,074$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.87 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.04 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 35c | 2,990$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.19 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 51c | 2,873$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.74 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc060…8956backed Yes | 63c | 2,828$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 32c | 2,732$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.84 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 30c | 2,561$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.79 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed Yes | 61c | 2,559$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…58fbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,369$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 27c | 2,328$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.94 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 9c | 2,200$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 33c | 2,166$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.62 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…fe8fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,061$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…f47bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 61c | 1,954$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 9c | 1,929$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 61c | 1,806$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,792$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.83 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 55c | 1,731$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.32 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3f…3440backed Yes | 10c | 1,706$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 38c | 1,705$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 57c | 1,614$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.46 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,606$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…4326backed Yes | 25c | 1,606$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…3f55backed Yes | 13c | 1,517$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…ee05backed Yes | 25c | 1,452$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 1,437$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.77 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 41c | 1,409$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…0fd9backed Yes | 13c | 1,406$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.13 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,383$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 37c | 1,359$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f5…a2c8backed Yes | 60c | 1,321$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…7200backed Yes | 22c | 1,319$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efc…6156backed Yes | 8c | 1,299$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 42c | 1,270$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.49 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…3c08backed Yes | 20c | 1,265$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 42c | 1,258$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.71 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…b103backed Yes | 65c | 1,258$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8dffbacked No | 35c | 1,258$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…7f79backed Yes | 39c | 1,255$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…86fbbacked No | 43c | 1,252$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed No | 37c | 1,180$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 44c | 1,125$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…c75bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,105$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 56c | 1,062$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…0a5bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,043$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 17c | 1,039$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ee…5beebacked Yes | 19c | 1,031$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…321cbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…a356backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? this page
- Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? Yes won
- Will Gustavo Jalkh win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No won
- Will Henry Cucalón win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?No won
- Will Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.