NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1134fe226e570451e90a1518757f1e7ba1914134ba1bd760e66c34765acd98e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, T-Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $409,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed T-Wolves | 12c | 60,171$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,130.88 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 76c | 41,500$31,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked T-Wolves | 24c | 38,110$9,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,146.28 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed T-Wolves | 18c | 32,469$5,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.87 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Thunder | 79c | 30,000$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked T-Wolves | 3c | 16,339$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.46 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked T-Wolves | 25c | 15,523$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.43 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 74c | 15,466$11,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.71 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed T-Wolves | 15c | 14,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked T-Wolves | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed T-Wolves | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed T-Wolves | 15c | 5,952$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.37 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 76c | 5,622$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.12 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed T-Wolves | 0c | 5,235$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…4bcebacked T-Wolves | 23c | 4,833$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed T-Wolves | 25c | 4,039$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.03 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…e33fbacked T-Wolves | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed T-Wolves | 10c | 3,949$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.45 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed T-Wolves | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed T-Wolves | 3c | 2,778$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Thunder | 78c | 2,634$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…5729backed T-Wolves | 3c | 1,757$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed T-Wolves | 12c | 1,754$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked T-Wolves | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked T-Wolves | 23c | 1,263$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.52 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed T-Wolves | 3c | 1,232$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed T-Wolves | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked T-Wolves | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…92dbbacked T-Wolves | 3c | 998.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed T-Wolves | 13c | 844.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…2538backed T-Wolves | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…f209backed T-Wolves | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4707…7e5bbacked T-Wolves | 7c | 790.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed T-Wolves | 13c | 730.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Thunder | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked T-Wolves | 4c | 586$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb64…ac76backed Thunder | 76c | 539.47$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Thunder | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed T-Wolves | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Thunder | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed T-Wolves | 18c | 270.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Thunder | 79c | 266.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…054dbacked Thunder | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…18a9backed T-Wolves | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed T-Wolves | 14c | 200.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…84e4backed T-Wolves | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…ce53backed T-Wolves | 18c | 169$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Thunder | 77c | 152$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…f473backed T-Wolves | 22c | 147.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf261…6b9cbacked T-Wolves | 24c | 146.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…9e5fbacked T-Wolves | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed T-Wolves | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked Thunder | 77c | 108.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed T-Wolves | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…b350backed T-Wolves | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…0dcebacked Thunder | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed T-Wolves | 24c | 97.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…1031backed Thunder | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e9…bddabacked T-Wolves | 15c | 89.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed T-Wolves | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed T-Wolves | 19c | 76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked T-Wolves | 22c | 75.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…8cfdbacked Thunder | 78c | 75.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Thunder | 76c | 70.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…1d99backed Thunder | 76c | 66.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Thunder | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…5e8abacked T-Wolves | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…f9e0backed T-Wolves | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a450backed Thunder | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed T-Wolves | 25c | 48.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed T-Wolves | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…ee86backed T-Wolves | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce7…ae0dbacked Thunder | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Thunder | 64c | 33.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0923…6183backed Thunder | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…6c60backed Thunder | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked Thunder | 77c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 75c | 28.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2c…0ecbbacked Thunder | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…8407backed Thunder | 79c | 22.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…fb73backed Thunder | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.