World Politics · resolved market
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fce789a05c3abd19e9ac2baa6982b0e47ea8eede91d9c6c89229efab8701d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $848,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 13c | 45,477$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.34 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…352bbacked No | 45c | 38,879$17,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,383.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…748bbacked Yes | 55c | 38,879$21,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,383.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…0b85backed Yes | 54c | 32,167$17,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,370.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…2a06backed No | 46c | 32,167$14,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,370.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 7c | 29,685$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.33 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…5986backed No | 42c | 25,376$10,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,718.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bf…0404backed Yes | 58c | 25,376$14,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,718.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 5c | 23,460$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.24 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 51c | 22,249$11,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,243.04 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 53c | 15,754$8,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,387.71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 40c | 15,435$6,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.14 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 12c | 14,048$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 1c | 11,719$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 49c | 10,372$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.46 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Yes | 61c | 8,595$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 62c | 8,088$5,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,028.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…82ddbacked Yes | 2c | 7,908$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…3317backed Yes | 67c | 7,534$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 34c | 6,963$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.78 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…2a0bbacked Yes | 61c | 6,657$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 6c | 6,370$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.38 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 39c | 6,322$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,856.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 43c | 6,002$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.21 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…9475backed Yes | 62c | 5,850$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 23c | 5,662$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9be9backed No | 53c | 5,648$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…467cbacked No | 49c | 5,609$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 44c | 5,552$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.86 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed No | 55c | 5,513$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.72 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…39b8backed Yes | 8c | 5,443$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 8c | 5,056$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.57 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…98c9backed Yes | 56c | 5,002$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,825 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 54c | 4,788$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591.21 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 55c | 4,730$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.21 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 4,700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 34c | 4,476$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.21 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 71c | 4,381$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.18 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…1c77backed Yes | 19c | 4,363$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Yes | 70c | 4,201$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…426fbacked Yes | 51c | 4,188$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…4e99backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 52c | 3,989$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked Yes | 38c | 3,707$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed Yes | 60c | 3,649$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed No | 52c | 3,536$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.18 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,511$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 54c | 3,362$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 42c | 3,142$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.57 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…c72dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,009$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…fa31backed Yes | 36c | 2,975$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked Yes | 49c | 2,863$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 28c | 2,860$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,847$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…be57backed Yes | 54c | 2,832$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x737f…6cc0backed Yes | 3c | 2,800$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 59c | 2,721$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.51 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 7c | 2,700$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Yes | 64c | 2,679$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,619$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 44c | 2,602$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 37c | 2,558$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.1 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 44c | 2,483$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.06 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…eacbbacked Yes | 52c | 2,444$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 62c | 2,321$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yes | 68c | 2,306$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…3465backed Yes | 2c | 2,244$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +178.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…51f2backed Yes | 29c | 2,127$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 2,124$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.51 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,060$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 59c | 2,015$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed No | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 30cpaid | +239%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.99 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 50c | 1,765$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.56 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 53c | 1,741$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.29 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,652$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,634$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed Yes | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked Yes | 63c | 1,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 59c | 1,575$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 43c | 1,550$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.6 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…f157backed Yes | 79c | 1,530$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 68cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 66c | 1,514$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 67c | 1,486$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 1,472$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.64 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 34c | 1,453$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f28…7bb9backed No | 32c | 1,427$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…4017backed Yes | 72c | 1,392$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 38c | 1,379$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.43 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…fbdabacked Yes | 3c | 1,360$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 58c | 1,360$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.04 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,292$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.36 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Yes | 54c | 1,277$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed No | 43c | 1,233$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 1,231$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.44 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?this page
- Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes won
- Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.