World Politics · resolved market
Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbccd49044550c64e42dfdc59e6fe781fb10b4c03cbacb92ac35ed79c49e88a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 43,052$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.15 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 15,378$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 5c | 14,174$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.02 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,722$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 9,820$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.02 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 3c | 9,728$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 1c | 6,846$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 6,135$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,805$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 2c | 4,444$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaec…8dc8backed Yes | 1c | 3,953$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 1c | 3,852$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 3c | 3,812$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 2c | 3,752$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,968$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 2c | 2,424$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 1c | 2,012$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 2c | 1,515$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,293$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…2a77backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 2c | 999$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…ac37backed Yes | 4c | 980.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 2c | 901$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 3c | 621.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 3c | 446.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?this page
- Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes won
- Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.