World Politics · resolved market
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfa4be9c6786791072da61477fe3938ee78c8edc2b2e6154239996ab1bc96ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,201,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,386,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,201,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x999c…c507backed Yes | 37c | 58,926$21,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,123.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…e9b1backed No | 63c | 58,645$36,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,946.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 73c | 39,874$29,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.1 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 58c | 34,018$19,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,284.91 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 74c | 30,119$22,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,973.55 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 72c | 20,109$14,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,485.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…eacbbacked Yes | 38c | 13,638$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,447.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 32c | 13,009$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,820.17 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…c089backed Yes | 40c | 12,354$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,374.86 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 33c | 12,269$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,257.23 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 30c | 10,209$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 9,796$7,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.52 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 33c | 9,214$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 42c | 8,004$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.88 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Yes | 36c | 8,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,089.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed Yes | 24c | 7,444$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.9 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -7.2wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 58c | 6,860$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.11 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 28c | 6,455$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 34c | 5,372$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.27 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 58c | 5,341$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.46 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 27c | 5,231$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 38c | 5,056$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,139.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 67c | 4,955$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 74c | 4,853$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 61c | 4,536$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…ac37backed Yes | 34c | 4,280$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 40c | 4,267$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.05 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 4,167$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.2 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked No | 43c | 4,128$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 40c | 4,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 40c | 3,694$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.45 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed No | 62c | 3,592$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 14c | 3,427$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 76c | 3,247$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.22 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 63c | 3,004$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.61 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 77c | 3,001$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 30c | 2,897$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 26c | 2,780$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.03 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…9be9backed No | 57c | 2,774$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.09 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,448$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 8c | 2,365$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 65c | 2,342$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.13 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed No | 71c | 2,300$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 42c | 2,285$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Yes | 54c | 2,268$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 59c | 2,228$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 55c | 2,228$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.51 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 45c | 2,201$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…44c5backed Yes | 33c | 2,194$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +112%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 44c | 2,156$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,152$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.47 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 9c | 2,130$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 74c | 2,078$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.93 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.61per pick | 27cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 57c | 1,970$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.09 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…4408backed No | 7c | 1,952$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,916$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed No | 44c | 1,813$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,801$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…2a0bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,791$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 3c | 1,785$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20de…b9e9backed Yes | 47c | 1,744$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f62…d7b0backed Yes | 41c | 1,706$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8405backed Yes | 44c | 1,693$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked No | 62c | 1,622$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6b…fdbbbacked Yes | 43c | 1,550$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 1,475$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.68 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 38c | 1,461$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 66c | 1,400$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x915e…2a71backed No | 62c | 1,400$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 72c | 1,378$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…8a8ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,349$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +92%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…0f8abacked Yes | 75c | 1,338$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +279.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 44c | 1,326$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 2c | 1,310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…f752backed No | 24c | 1,310$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.78 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.34per pick | 36cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,293$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.09 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…51f2backed Yes | 35c | 1,289$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked Yes | 63c | 1,288$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,198$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 31c | 1,191$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes | 32c | 1,180$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Yes | 35c | 1,151$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…86a9backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.11 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 1,109$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.08 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 12c | 1,073$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,046$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.42 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 38c | 1,026$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.35 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 22c | 1,025$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.72 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…dcb2backed No | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…8132backed Yes | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked No | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?this page
- Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
- Will Ronnie Brunswijk be the next president of Suriname after the election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.