TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Golden Knights, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,255 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1c9…96d9backed Golden Knights51c28,000$14,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,304.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings53c14,627$7,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,813.9922842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings50c8,464$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.671,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Golden Knights28c6,133$1,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.5111051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Golden Knights52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.997758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings49c4,496$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.6792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kings49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Kings55c3,741$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.621070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Kings50c3,548$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.0631546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Golden Knights51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings48c2,717$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.6179251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Golden Knights48c2,467$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.2932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings49c2,456$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.7197651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights49c2,387$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.911,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights30c2,294$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kings48c2,192$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.8429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Kings47c1,854$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.632744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights45c1,840$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings49c1,839$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.972847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f1…560abacked Golden Knights23c1,837$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Golden Knights30c1,774$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.339747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings38c1,743$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.781,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights51c1,675$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85521620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kings49c1,600$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81949351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Golden Knights49c1,501$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01a…2485backed Kings51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Golden Knights52c1,485$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.983148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Golden Knights73c1,467$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.758350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Kings49c1,333$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.6521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Kings49c1,151$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9721652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3315…937dbacked Golden Knights53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Kings50c1,110$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…85f4backed Kings49c1,046$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.326050%30 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1234845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7b2…7c50backed Kings65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights44c916.13$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.653,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings52c849.53$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kings48c774.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40060549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings49c765$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1515663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Kings50c726.44$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.222240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Kings47c717$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings47c706.81$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.611,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…91c8backed Kings48c693.75$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Golden Knights46c665.63$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bf1…58a9backed Golden Knights51c588.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd835…0d2dbacked Golden Knights30c570.03$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Golden Knights35c566.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc4…6651backed Golden Knights36c562.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5472444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings53c499.61$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.637254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights50c480.74$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb50…10d7backed Kings48c439.58$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d57…34e0backed Kings50c423.96$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Kings50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6c…eb33backed Kings40c388$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Golden Knights30c366.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Kings52c336.52$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.531323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Golden Knights33c327.27$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10719438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Golden Knights51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Golden Knights51c299.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Golden Knights51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings54c292.41$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5114844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Golden Knights51c279.82$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.715757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Kings68c278.73$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.733737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee06…f8b1backed Kings74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7079…a828backed Kings52c246.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf01…0c94backed Golden Knights50c230$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9346…bb03backed Kings51c229.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089a…5729backed Golden Knights51c223.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b51…44afbacked Kings50c220.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0e…f0bbbacked Golden Knights51c219.61$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Golden Knights42c206.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.563324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Golden Knights50c201$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Golden Knights50c200.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x193d…2eb4backed Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf78d…8e3ebacked Golden Knights50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Kings50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…f55ebacked Golden Knights52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights50c199.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings52c195.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.861,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2066…617cbacked Kings52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Kings53c189.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings28c187.27$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2754418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Kings38c186.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Kings48c179.48$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.339352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Kings50c176.16$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0818452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1afb…e0c0backed Kings52c164.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd216…d911backed Kings52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights49c144$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5628842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07af…ee5fbacked Kings50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Golden Knights75c136.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.673154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…468fbacked Golden Knights51c135.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Golden Knights52c130.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf518…1655backed Golden Knights50c130$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20c…fa4bbacked Kings52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.44650%23 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights47c125.18$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.