TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6710…00c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT6251.6%32 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.22
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$19.24
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.24
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+29%+$9.77
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.84
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$62.78
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$124.9
Grizzlies vs. Heatbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102.52
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.53
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.28
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$10.94
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Pistons vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$18.27
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+41.2%+$22.56
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$33.06
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+64%+$12.79
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-41.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.63
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.71
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.55
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.49
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+85.4%+$34.15
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$38.56
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+57.6%+$23.03
Kings vs. Blackhawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$104.79
Maple Leafs vs. Penguinsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Blackhawks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$99.3
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.