Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9501e10440ed6a34aa24bb43fec6a91188f618207682c6c81a67d5fa9fe3479

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,999
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,999 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x40e3…0787backed No	45c	12,668$5,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,015.73	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No	73c	9,100$6,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,479.35	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+6.1wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No	74c	8,704$6,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,220.24	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	72c	5,200$3,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,465.03	330	55.2%182 W · 148 L	+21.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	26c	5,138$1,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,335.58	260	22.3%58 W · 202 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes	32c	5,088$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…63cdbacked Yes	27c	3,704$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes	30c	3,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.17per pick	36cpaid	-61%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	71c	2,900$2,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.99	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes	27c	2,533$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes	25c	2,247$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.26	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes	27c	2,037$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	84	20.2%17 W · 67 L	-12.1wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes	77c	1,861$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,430.35	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No	72c	1,757$1,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.99	75	66.7%50 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No	47c	1,669$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.63	122	43.4%53 W · 69 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	72c	1,506$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.05	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8d…216cbacked Yes	77c	1,303$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	74c	1,286$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.12	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes	27c	1,111$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No	72c	681.94$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.94	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	26c	646$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.96	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	74c	530.24$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.4	237	57%135 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes	24c	526.92$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.46	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes	30c	500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	25c	499.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes	28c	441.19$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Yes	11c	432.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.57	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	39c	400$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	121	66.9%81 W · 40 L	+17.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c65…a0b7backed Yes	27c	375.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes	28c	350$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	127	37%47 W · 80 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a5…5b4dbacked Yes	26c	342.31$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes	30c	336.83$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes	26c	333$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.58	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes	27c	300$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No	74c	299.94$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.98	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x984b…9338backed Yes	26c	277.77$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef2…8a53backed Yes	28c	274.82$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccc2…a570backed Yes	26c	269.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3682…8faebacked Yes	26c	269.23$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ead…0cdfbacked Yes	26c	257.69$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No	66c	250$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.3	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	+9.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No	75c	242.87$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.72	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	58cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53be…6377backed No	75c	235$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24d…0a3ebacked Yes	30c	208$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…7222backed Yes	30c	207.87$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes	26c	195.54$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No	72c	194.44$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	15c	189.37$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	279	39.8%111 W · 168 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	147	33.3%49 W · 98 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes	28c	179.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes	30c	167.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd40…719ebacked Yes	25c	163$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	31c	141.17$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.59	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No	71c	140.92$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.92	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a70…be64backed Yes	25c	136$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No	75c	133.16$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.16	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…c510backed Yes	58c	131.55$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes	32c	126.62$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No	74c	120.79$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Yes	30c	120$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x494f…ca12backed Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	27c	116$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.49	178	35.4%63 W · 115 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb1…e087backed Yes	25c	115$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	73c	113$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.22	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecb8…b9dcbacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26d…6eedbacked Yes	25c	106$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Yes	27c	105.31$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	50cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xceb0…c15bbacked No	75c	104$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No	74c	100.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.26	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb175…b65cbacked Yes	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb606…80f6backed No	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked No	74c	96.25$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.02	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	76cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4429…4c58backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No	74c	89.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	140	42.1%59 W · 81 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2df…45f9backed Yes	27c	88.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No	69c	88$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.28	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6710…00c9backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	28cpaid	+86%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa303…6933backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc391…8f41backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedea…740fbacked Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6210…f242backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2cb…c3c8backed Yes	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes	18c	75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes	29c	68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6173…4258backed No	70c	67$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	41cpaid	-39%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c88…16f3backed No	75c	62$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc421…c77ebacked Yes	25c	62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f2…b8a9backed No	71c	60$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…634cbacked Yes	26c	59.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes	26c	57.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	44cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?this page
Will Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event