Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b93bcc708eafa6624023c8f394ba2a49b954e08c6cb56ffe918ce884c4da81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 70c | 145,000$101,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…4fd4backed Yes | 30c | 145,000$43,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabda…a053backed No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,099.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…c761backed Yes | 29c | 9,990$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 6c | 5,976$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.3 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 915.52$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.74 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 36c | 832.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 68c | 816.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.52 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 776.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.14 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 29c | 749.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked No | 47c | 720.96$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…6005backed Yes | 32c | 495.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…89f8backed Yes | 31c | 481.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 439.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…91afbacked No | 71c | 412.8$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 31c | 353.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.09 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 352$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 33c | 303.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…d2d0backed No | 71c | 284.31$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +160%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd06…41f7backed No | 71c | 281.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…37c3backed Yes | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…dff8backed Yes | 32c | 249.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 47c | 195$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 28c | 185.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…3399backed No | 70c | 117$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…1efabacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…7addbacked Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…0124backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…5391backed No | 72c | 87.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…45cabacked No | 72c | 87.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…dd7bbacked No | 71c | 83.34$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…776fbacked No | 70c | 69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…7947backed No | 70c | 67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…8785backed No | 70c | 67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 67c | 67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…e4d9backed No | 70c | 64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…72b7backed No | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…1288backed No | 70c | 63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…8675backed No | 70c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…dad1backed No | 70c | 61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…be9ebacked No | 70c | 61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…6252backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6269…698fbacked No | 70c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…f810backed No | 70c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c963backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…1576backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…ad3dbacked No | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…eb14backed No | 70c | 58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…a0a5backed Yes | 29c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…26afbacked No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…3cf4backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…f2a2backed No | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933d…9575backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb7…5594backed No | 70c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb97…caaebacked No | 70c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked No | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Yes | 30c | 49.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9efb…2c7cbacked No | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…5b60backed No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…7e1bbacked No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…d58dbacked No | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bf…76e9backed No | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…a7bebacked No | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…8a2dbacked No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…b617backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…4d69backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3476…754abacked No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…f371backed No | 70c | 44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…f68cbacked No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…eaf8backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…12f0backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…6e80backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f80…28f7backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…e93bbacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x065f…55f1backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b5…245ebacked No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…f254backed No | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…6082backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab7…8954backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…4979backed No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…0b6bbacked No | 70c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…bc4ebacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…339fbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…fa43backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc26…2d87backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b99…3035backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?No won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.