Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa76d9476f9db2220a2fe156ee54f586f31c2e1234e4b1b5f1ed6e23a67d0173d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 54c | 9,059$4,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 55c | 4,427$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.83 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed No | 73c | 4,002$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6a…6352backed No | 55c | 3,473$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 44c | 3,192$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.26 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 46c | 3,018$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 26c | 2,829$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 27c | 2,187$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.11 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 45c | 1,590$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Yes | 45c | 1,356$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 57c | 1,238$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.55 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…fedebacked Yes | 46c | 1,189$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…bbdfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…4c30backed Yes | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed No | 56c | 1,000$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Yes | 46c | 979.52$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 26c | 968.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 846$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 40c | 790.83$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 58c | 691.81$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 46c | 623.91$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 56c | 536$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.84 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked No | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 44c | 450$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 46c | 427.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Yes | 45c | 425.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 54c | 375.7$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 55c | 304.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 26c | 291.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 79c | 254.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…faa0backed Yes | 46c | 235$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 41c | 205.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.39 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 45c | 204.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…b4f4backed Yes | 46c | 191.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…7256backed No | 54c | 183$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 57c | 176.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 165.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 42c | 149.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5798backed Yes | 46c | 137$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 57c | 127.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes | 39c | 120.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…55cdbacked No | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 42c | 99.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…90d1backed No | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Yes | 42c | 95.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…0b97backed Yes | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…c80dbacked No | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…45b5backed No | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…0cd2backed No | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 40c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8f…f803backed Yes | 46c | 69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…5cd2backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Yes | 19c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 47c | 64.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…dbd9backed Yes | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 60c | 55.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x923a…069fbacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…5200backed No | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…9431backed No | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…cf91backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…e890backed Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…163dbacked Yes | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…7036backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c0…6775backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…200ebacked Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…eca7backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…9f71backed Yes | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 68c | 41.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a47…449cbacked Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…1ffcbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-06?No won
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.