NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45dd04cca900ff2cb355033ca7eafdba6cc563f4586cc83f06c5cbf7075f7783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb893…3399backed Red Wings | 49c | 8,755$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Red Wings | 46c | 7,829$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Utah | 55c | 5,431$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,443.78 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 52c | 3,872$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…2ae2backed Utah | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…5600backed Utah | 53c | 3,313$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Utah | 52c | 2,790$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.12 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 52c | 2,494$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.61 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,943$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.2 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Red Wings | 67c | 1,650$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.87 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…f21fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,183$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…7fe0backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a9…28c9backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,154$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,114$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…ae2cbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…acfcbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…38dcbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,089$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 34c | 996.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 46c | 833$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.18 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Utah | 38c | 771.43$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.43 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Utah | 56c | 749.85$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Wings | 30c | 687.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.92 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings | 54c | 624.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Red Wings | 47c | 613.31$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.39 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Wings | 46c | 610.79$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.93 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Wings | 43c | 526.32$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Utah | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 526.04$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Red Wings | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Wings | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Red Wings | 62c | 446.15$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…500ebacked Utah | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…d8ccbacked Red Wings | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Wings | 49c | 406.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…238bbacked Red Wings | 48c | 399$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…5b61backed Utah | 52c | 399$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…4c58backed Utah | 51c | 398$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…8ad7backed Red Wings | 49c | 398$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…684dbacked Red Wings | 48c | 396$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…0162backed Utah | 52c | 396$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…c621backed Red Wings | 49c | 394$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…a0bcbacked Utah | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…2ee4backed Red Wings | 49c | 390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…f232backed Utah | 51c | 390$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…6bc7backed Red Wings | 49c | 386$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…195dbacked Utah | 51c | 386$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Utah | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…31bdbacked Utah | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…0c4bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…cda0backed Red Wings | 49c | 380$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…08a7backed Utah | 51c | 380$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…3efcbacked Utah | 51c | 379$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…7508backed Red Wings | 49c | 379$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…6efbbacked Utah | 51c | 377$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…4499backed Red Wings | 49c | 377$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…7439backed Utah | 51c | 371$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…deebbacked Red Wings | 49c | 371$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc420…3769backed Red Wings | 49c | 369$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…2f58backed Utah | 51c | 368.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…4d92backed Utah | 52c | 356$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…0327backed Red Wings | 48c | 356$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…de6bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 353$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…f6fdbacked Utah | 51c | 353$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…aeefbacked Utah | 52c | 348$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…67e5backed Red Wings | 48c | 348$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…d3e7backed Utah | 51c | 337$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…7da7backed Red Wings | 49c | 337$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…3083backed Utah | 51c | 335$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…8e70backed Red Wings | 49c | 335$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…cfd0backed Utah | 52c | 334$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5e58backed Red Wings | 48c | 334$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…f35abacked Red Wings | 49c | 328$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…0872backed Utah | 51c | 328$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…2f8fbacked Red Wings | 49c | 309$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…2eecbacked Utah | 51c | 309$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Red Wings | 48c | 306.43$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Red Wings | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef9…6a99backed Red Wings | 48c | 280$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…2608backed Utah | 52c | 280$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 20c | 269.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…91afbacked Red Wings | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 54c | 256.82$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 36c | 255.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…9d0cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 222.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Utah | 54c | 218.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…bfecbacked Utah | 54c | 217.52$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 216.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked Red Wings | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Red Wings | 48c | 208.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Red Wings | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Utah | 38c | 206.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Red Wings | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4187…d074backed Red Wings | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79e7…365bbacked Utah | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Utah | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Utah | 56c | 182$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…f722backed Red Wings | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…79d2backed Red Wings | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…1d67backed Red Wings | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.