NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294553d364fc12c2849600dc858460bca7c171ffe973aed87e44ffba8447990b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Thunder | 45c | 26,365$11,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,542.05 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 52c | 21,054$10,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,172.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 45c | 19,511$8,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,725.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Celtics | 51c | 16,251$8,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,306.8 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Thunder | 65c | 13,398$8,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,686.68 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Celtics | 44c | 13,368$5,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,906.1 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Thunder | 62c | 12,477$7,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,748.42 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Celtics | 44c | 11,271$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.26 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Celtics | 44c | 11,028$4,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892.81 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 57c | 9,973$5,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,677.34 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 59c | 9,188$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Thunder | 42c | 8,563$3,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.48 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Celtics | 55c | 7,233$3,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.08 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Thunder | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.85 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 58c | 6,859$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Thunder | 45c | 6,608$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.62 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Thunder | 61c | 5,562$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.02 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 48c | 5,219$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.71 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Celtics | 37c | 5,051$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Thunder | 43c | 5,046$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Celtics | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 58c | 5,000$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.08 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Thunder | 56c | 4,876$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.47 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder | 41c | 4,846$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.95 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Celtics | 39c | 4,520$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.77 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Celtics | 57c | 4,385$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.21 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Thunder | 43c | 4,160$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.94 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Celtics | 57c | 4,149$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Thunder | 57c | 3,772$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.97 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Celtics | 56c | 3,767$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.64 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Celtics | 56c | 3,709$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.07 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Celtics | 57c | 3,370$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.96 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Celtics | 52c | 3,301$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.49 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Celtics | 44c | 3,191$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…a887backed Celtics | 3c | 3,142$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -83%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Thunder | 47c | 3,002$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.77 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Thunder | 43c | 2,939$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.73 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Thunder | 45c | 2,718$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Thunder | 41c | 2,701$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.08 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Thunder | 60c | 2,675$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,674$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.5 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Thunder | 42c | 2,637$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.65 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Celtics | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Celtics | 40c | 2,473$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,420$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…7594backed Celtics | 56c | 2,385$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Thunder | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,300$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.95 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Celtics | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Celtics | 58c | 2,249$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…70d9backed Thunder | 45c | 2,227$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 48c | 2,109$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.21 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Thunder | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Celtics | 43c | 1,887$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.8 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Thunder | 42c | 1,871$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.44 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Thunder | 42c | 1,851$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b3…dde6backed Celtics | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Thunder | 45c | 1,799$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.39 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Celtics | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 44c | 1,785$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.81 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Celtics | 52c | 1,780$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.88 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,778$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Thunder | 43c | 1,726$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.79 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Celtics | 58c | 1,723$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.34 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Celtics | 50c | 1,707$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.78 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Celtics | 50c | 1,672$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Thunder | 57c | 1,657$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.82 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…c054backed Thunder | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…ad36backed Celtics | 55c | 1,611$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…fa6abacked Celtics | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd601…bb5dbacked Celtics | 58c | 1,598$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Celtics | 57c | 1,595$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.24 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Celtics | 56c | 1,557$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Celtics | 52c | 1,543$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.96 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Thunder | 44c | 1,535$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.33 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 1,523$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Thunder | 41c | 1,470$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 62c | 1,409$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.08 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Celtics | 59c | 1,400$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Celtics | 49c | 1,371$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.37 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Celtics | 52c | 1,335$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 60c | 1,329$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.3 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 10c | 1,301$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…edaabacked Celtics | 56c | 1,254$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Celtics | 2c | 1,250$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…b5bdbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,206$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…99c2backed Celtics | 58c | 1,205$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…df9abacked Thunder | 46c | 1,190$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…ea10backed Thunder | 45c | 1,176$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…fe48backed Thunder | 50c | 1,165$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics | 57c | 1,164$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.81 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Celtics | 56c | 1,037$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.94 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Celtics | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Thunder | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Celtics | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 43c | 974.86$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.43 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Celtics | 21c | 970.82$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…780cbacked Celtics | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.