NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd02acf8529d50301fa32cd0a547fa844d763842cdc9e03520d52a66b4210d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Magic, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Rockets | 60c | 8,373$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.11 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 20c | 6,552$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.03 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 40c | 4,773$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.05 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 36c | 4,717$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.45 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 35c | 4,485$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.17 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 59c | 4,368$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.45 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 73c | 3,882$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.36 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 3,255$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Magic | 36c | 3,123$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.28 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Magic | 41c | 2,244$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 42c | 2,124$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.63 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 37c | 2,000$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.68 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Rockets | 73c | 1,991$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.21 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 64c | 1,544$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 59c | 1,540$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.38 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Rockets | 65c | 1,528$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.79 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Rockets | 63c | 1,502$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.74 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…5f2cbacked Magic | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 36c | 1,473$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.26 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 50c | 1,432$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Rockets | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.27 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 40c | 971.65$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 2c | 952.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockets | 68c | 804.18$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.18 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets | 63c | 799.95$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Rockets | 65c | 766.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.23 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 36c | 731.29$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.15 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 41c | 724.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 41c | 609.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 2c | 600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Magic | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Magic | 9c | 528.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Rockets | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Rockets | 64c | 399.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 36c | 399.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Rockets | 64c | 391.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 64c | 386.88$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 50c | 365.27$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.97 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 58c | 354.31$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…0e4bbacked Rockets | 75c | 302.89$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Rockets | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets | 62c | 279.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.38 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Magic | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Magic | 39c | 266.77$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Rockets | 60c | 237.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Magic | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Rockets | 64c | 214.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…acacbacked Rockets | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb6…71b9backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…6c72backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…97d8backed Magic | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…a566backed Magic | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…86bdbacked Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1462…17d0backed Magic | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…789cbacked Magic | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…3ab5backed Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…446cbacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…59debacked Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160e…cf5fbacked Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…994bbacked Rockets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…c107backed Rockets | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb54d…499fbacked Rockets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…c103backed Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…b69dbacked Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…0673backed Magic | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…527dbacked Rockets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…3e0ebacked Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…60b0backed Magic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…c045backed Rockets | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…2b79backed Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…4bf9backed Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…da6cbacked Rockets | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…cb8bbacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…5894backed Magic | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…eb4abacked Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4824backed Magic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…38fdbacked Rockets | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…6adfbacked Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…2a56backed Magic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…36b0backed Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…0edabacked Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…b25abacked Magic | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…3d33backed Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…498bbacked Rockets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…cb7dbacked Rockets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…6cbebacked Magic | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…dd9ebacked Rockets | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40bd…b385backed Magic | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4fcfbacked Magic | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.