NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef0bb2ab27352a33e289ec7f348855d83d5abb2ef1c7e0892de213c3c135173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 47c | 31,330$14,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,657.07 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Knicks | 49c | 23,467$11,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,397.4 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 53c | 22,073$11,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,372.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 51c | 21,297$10,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,333.58 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 42c | 17,200$7,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,240.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 39c | 16,950$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,619.57 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 52c | 16,786$8,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.32 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…dba4backed Knicks | 68c | 13,331$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Knicks | 35c | 12,438$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.84 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.94 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Celtics | 52c | 9,650$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.67 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 42c | 7,836$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.22 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 49c | 7,623$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.13 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks | 51c | 6,054$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.17 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 58c | 6,041$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.44 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Knicks | 53c | 5,713$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.89 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 48c | 5,038$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.03 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Celtics | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Celtics | 56c | 4,733$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.68 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 38c | 4,732$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.18 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Knicks | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 42c | 3,965$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 44c | 3,438$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.42 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 56c | 3,256$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.2 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks | 49c | 3,177$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Celtics | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.93 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.21 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks | 53c | 2,849$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Knicks | 54c | 2,601$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 54c | 2,507$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.45 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Celtics | 80c | 2,278$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 51c | 1,993$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.45 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,925$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.09 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Knicks | 28c | 1,887$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.52 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Knicks | 55c | 1,823$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Celtics | 14c | 1,798$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.42 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Knicks | 46c | 1,726$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.32 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Celtics | 67c | 1,639$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.61 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks | 43c | 1,617$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.31 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 56c | 1,416$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.72 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7952…09cdbacked Knicks | 49c | 1,410$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…7d09backed Celtics | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Knicks | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Celtics | 44c | 1,351$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Knicks | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.25 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Knicks | 39c | 1,332$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…1977backed Celtics | 51c | 1,014$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Knicks | 41c | 1,000$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.43 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 51c | 1,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.33 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Celtics | 51c | 989.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Celtics | 48c | 982.93$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.7 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Knicks | 51c | 971.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Knicks | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Celtics | 58c | 956.03$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…331dbacked Knicks | 42c | 952.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 46c | 914.03$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Celtics | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Knicks | 45c | 890.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Celtics | 57c | 849.65$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.33 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Knicks | 51c | 803$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.53 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Celtics | 56c | 799.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 54c | 799.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks | 51c | 790.72$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.66 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Celtics | 50c | 777.46$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.46 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Celtics | 70c | 736.96$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Celtics | 74c | 719.34$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Knicks | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Knicks | 74c | 650$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Knicks | 62c | 649.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…1adbbacked Celtics | 51c | 618.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 28cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Celtics | 51c | 611.25$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks | 51c | 572$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Celtics | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Celtics | 53c | 556.31$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.75 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Celtics | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Celtics | 47c | 534.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.64 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Celtics | 57c | 526.77$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Knicks | 49c | 499.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Knicks | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…49b2backed Celtics | 76c | 496.1$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Knicks | 45c | 483$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Celtics | 45c | 470.89$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Celtics | 60c | 439.58$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.46 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Knicks | 42c | 429.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Celtics | 48c | 414.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 38c | 407.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Celtics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks | 52c | 397.12$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Knicks | 52c | 383.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 22c | 374.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 48c | 372.04$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.87 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Knicks | 54c | 371.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks | 42c | 357.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Knicks | 46c | 313.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.91 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Celtics | 27c | 300$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.