NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x485474411db89640a02867d832da6c777e75e055f77c59b93be2abe2125f3f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken | 52c | 8,991$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.95 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Wild | 48c | 7,955$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Kraken | 34c | 3,240$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Wild | 47c | 2,739$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.83 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…525abacked Kraken | 10c | 2,229$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…eb4bbacked Wild | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 15c | 2,072$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…ac5fbacked Kraken | 53c | 2,043$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Wild | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kraken | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 75c | 1,091$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.79 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 9c | 1,047$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kraken | 52c | 1,038$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken | 53c | 936$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kraken | 19c | 790.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Kraken | 26c | 783.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Wild | 72c | 777.5$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wild | 73c | 700$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 8c | 680.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Wild | 47c | 586.63$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…e69bbacked Kraken | 53c | 521$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Wild | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wild | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Kraken | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Wild | 76c | 395.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wild | 47c | 359.35$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.45 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kraken | 51c | 320.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Kraken | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Kraken | 13c | 299.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed Kraken | 42c | 271.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Kraken | 53c | 254.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Wild | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…34d3backed Wild | 47c | 227$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 48c | 207.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb426…2634backed Wild | 49c | 206.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…ab8fbacked Wild | 49c | 204.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wild | 71c | 202$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wild | 48c | 199.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Kraken | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Wild | 50c | 189.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…43e9backed Kraken | 53c | 172$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wild | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…1022backed Kraken | 52c | 164$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 52c | 162.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Wild | 68c | 161.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47d…c6acbacked Kraken | 54c | 159.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…2dcfbacked Kraken | 13c | 152.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Kraken | 11c | 151.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Wild | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…d1efbacked Wild | 47c | 142$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…6880backed Wild | 47c | 139$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…6e79backed Wild | 48c | 126.58$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…f594backed Kraken | 55c | 126.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…e4fdbacked Kraken | 52c | 126$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…452dbacked Wild | 48c | 125.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…067cbacked Wild | 47c | 124$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed Wild | 48c | 113.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Wild | 52c | 112.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…f8e6backed Kraken | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Wild | 78c | 107.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Wild | 51c | 106.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…f29abacked Wild | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Wild | 47c | 103.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…eacbbacked Wild | 48c | 103.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…4040backed Wild | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wild | 57c | 101.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Kraken | 55c | 100.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7887…6cfdbacked Kraken | 53c | 100.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…80b5backed Kraken | 52c | 100.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kraken | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Wild | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wild | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kraken | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…b4cfbacked Wild | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…8599backed Kraken | 53c | 99.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9facbacked Kraken | 54c | 96.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…267fbacked Wild | 49c | 95.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…c1bfbacked Wild | 48c | 95.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8d…b437backed Kraken | 53c | 93.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…a184backed Wild | 48c | 93.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…9084backed Wild | 48c | 92.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…e6debacked Kraken | 54c | 92.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…c6d9backed Kraken | 53c | 92.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Kraken | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…0e64backed Kraken | 53c | 89.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5143…7afbbacked Kraken | 53c | 88.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…f908backed Wild | 48c | 88.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…c463backed Kraken | 53c | 86.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…cc81backed Wild | 49c | 85.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…f33cbacked Wild | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139f…6638backed Wild | 48c | 83.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…5468backed Kraken | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…aff3backed Kraken | 52c | 80.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.