NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c6d0cd91564907075f7e09321b8f056f0a97e47c74d18b2aefe67b3887fd36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,006,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,068,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 3c | 211,676$5,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,952.55 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 27c | 56,653$15,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,297.98 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Lakers | 12c | 28,530$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 48c | 21,804$10,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,370.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…8c00backed Lakers | 51c | 21,639$11,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,102.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 71c | 20,650$14,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,986.64 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 21c | 19,647$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…96ebbacked Warriors | 49c | 19,213$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,879.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 46c | 16,456$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,886.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lakers | 56c | 15,687$8,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,853.62 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Lakers | 7c | 15,659$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.47 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lakers | 1c | 12,889$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Warriors | 64c | 11,767$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.72 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 52c | 11,224$5,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.26 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…1580backed Warriors | 48c | 11,219$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 48c | 11,206$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.62 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lakers | 38c | 11,000$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,220 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 68c | 10,993$7,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.61 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa993…8cb8backed Warriors | 49c | 10,541$5,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 66c | 10,447$6,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564.84 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 39c | 10,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 54c | 10,000$5,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.15 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Warriors | 64c | 9,852$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Lakers | 52c | 7,800$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.48 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Warriors | 66c | 7,767$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.77 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lakers | 52c | 7,718$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.04 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Lakers | 20c | 7,230$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 60c | 6,566$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.52 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 48c | 6,390$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.94 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…dbdcbacked Warriors | 49c | 6,108$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lakers | 25c | 5,844$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.65 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 53c | 5,664$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.07 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 27c | 5,422$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.53 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 49c | 5,347$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Lakers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Lakers | 31c | 4,145$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Lakers | 54c | 4,000$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.97 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Warriors | 49c | 3,774$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.93 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Warriors | 62c | 3,493$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Lakers | 44c | 3,424$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 36c | 3,403$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.05 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 52c | 3,316$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.46 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Lakers | 53c | 3,208$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.47 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 51c | 3,158$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 48c | 3,112$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.96 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 45c | 3,065$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.59 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Lakers | 51c | 3,043$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.85 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lakers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 47c | 2,915$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.27 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Warriors | 49c | 2,612$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.94 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 78c | 2,434$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Lakers | 9c | 2,300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,220$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.59 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lakers | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Lakers | 25c | 2,164$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.11 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Lakers | 49c | 2,150$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…3bd9backed Lakers | 28c | 2,149$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.52 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +8.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Lakers | 33c | 2,120$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.26 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 24c | 2,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.18 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Lakers | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8d22backed Lakers | 55c | 1,990$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 38c | 1,900$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers | 52c | 1,872$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.27 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,854$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Lakers | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 32c | 1,726$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.64 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829e…7f0abacked Lakers | 40c | 1,647$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Lakers | 1c | 1,590$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Warriors | 79c | 1,556$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,540$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.73 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Lakers | 47c | 1,527$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.45 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Lakers | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Warriors | 47c | 1,496$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.05 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Lakers | 1c | 1,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Warriors | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.53 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Lakers | 46c | 1,315$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Lakers | 6c | 1,305$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,285$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.61 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…dfd1backed Lakers | 2c | 1,260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…2e36backed Warriors | 63c | 1,252$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lakers | 29c | 1,247$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Lakers | 55c | 1,193$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.21 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Lakers | 47c | 1,160$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Lakers | 6c | 1,131$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Lakers | 24c | 1,119$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Lakers | 54c | 1,112$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Warriors | 75c | 1,111$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.69 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lakers | 52c | 1,102$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.08 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lakers | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Lakers | 29c | 1,100$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lakers | 46c | 1,056$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.46 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lakers | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Lakers | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…e325backed Lakers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…8d83backed Warriors | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Lakers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.