NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82545b02bc11c26b4a1df510c3e829ac7cba5d33aada4473409d040ccfe3d2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Pistons, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pistons | 44c | 35,571$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.95 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Warriors | 62c | 27,980$17,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.2 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 42c | 22,949$9,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,543.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…06b1backed Warriors | 71c | 14,964$10,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons | 36c | 13,253$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.67 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Pistons | 40c | 12,171$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 35c | 7,687$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Warriors | 73c | 7,310$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Warriors | 69c | 5,775$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.53 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Warriors | 59c | 5,256$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.93 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Warriors | 43c | 5,215$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.27 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 61c | 5,192$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.5 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 34c | 5,182$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,602$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.05 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Warriors | 66c | 4,575$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.5 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…8e8abacked Warriors | 75c | 3,662$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.53 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 55c | 3,527$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.82 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pistons | 30c | 3,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.92 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,487$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.16 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Pistons | 53c | 2,477$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.82 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,350$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.94 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons | 40c | 2,188$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.44 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 76c | 2,164$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.71 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 51c | 2,100$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 64c | 2,035$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Warriors | 77c | 1,878$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.84 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 35c | 1,827$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.17 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,576$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.57 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Warriors | 58c | 1,556$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.93 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pistons | 33c | 1,521$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Warriors | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,402$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.76 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Pistons | 39c | 1,376$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.54 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 37c | 1,288$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pistons | 31c | 1,275$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pistons | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Pistons | 32c | 1,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Warriors | 54c | 1,158$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.62 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 40c | 1,143$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.28 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,125$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.54 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Warriors | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Pistons | 25c | 1,036$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.93 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Pistons | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Pistons | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Pistons | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pistons | 34c | 999.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.98 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Warriors | 52c | 959.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pistons | 33c | 918.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 64c | 908.8$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.17 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Pistons | 34c | 891.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Warriors | 52c | 846.76$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.76 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…216bbacked Warriors | 61c | 842.67$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Warriors | 64c | 817.77$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Warriors | 62c | 800.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Warriors | 73c | 799.99$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…0dd6backed Pistons | 32c | 799.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Pistons | 45c | 799.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Pistons | 32c | 771.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.95 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Warriors | 66c | 759.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 69c | 750.64$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Warriors | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Warriors | 65c | 734.94$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.23 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 39c | 711.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.91 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 32c | 657.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…7273backed Warriors | 71c | 654.55$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Pistons | 47c | 641.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pistons | 39c | 637.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Pistons | 27c | 629.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pistons | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Warriors | 58c | 600$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pistons | 30c | 599.86$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Warriors | 67c | 595.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.46 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pistons | 51c | 591.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 66c | 577.24$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.26 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Warriors | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Warriors | 70c | 557.06$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Pistons | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…2b88backed Pistons | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 32c | 550$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 7c | 534.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Warriors | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Warriors | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Pistons | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Warriors | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…f420backed Pistons | 40c | 480.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Warriors | 62c | 478.57$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Warriors | 52c | 456$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 34c | 441$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 58c | 423.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Warriors | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Warriors | 65c | 400.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.