TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Bucks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,101,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,256,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e66…0401backed Bucks71c162,683$115,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,081.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Pelicans30c83,998$25,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,081.0629957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans30c69,830$20,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,808.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Bucks75c37,500$28,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,3752060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Pelicans1c35,477$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7725016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Pelicans45c29,857$13,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,480.972060%12 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+43%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans35c26,894$9,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.5237448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Bucks56c20,789$11,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,153.3120047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1d…f405backed Bucks74c16,200$11,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans43c14,731$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,312.1521649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Bucks69c14,643$10,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,542.333652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Pelicans34c12,978$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,408.5520248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks65c12,004$7,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.0165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a38…bfe8backed Bucks80c12,004$9,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans30c10,379$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,086.111,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf719…eae4backed Pelicans29c10,038$2,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,908.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d20…f0aebacked Bucks71c10,026$7,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…85f8backed Pelicans27c10,024$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Bucks72c10,020$7,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,775.0629858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee6…92c3backed Bucks73c10,012$7,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20db…63ccbacked Pelicans26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks67c9,469$6,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,164.1796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884a…4589backed Bucks72c8,576$6,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.283551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Pelicans19c8,463$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.453033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks72c8,300$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.591,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Pelicans35c7,568$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,648.942646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pelicans35c7,464$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.7636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Pelicans31c7,425$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3004533.3%15 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans36c6,614$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd5…cd21backed Pelicans26c6,200$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Pelicans32c6,072$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.069946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Pelicans34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04019350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Bucks58c5,935$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans2c5,435$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans0c5,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.753350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pelicans35c4,764$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pelicans32c4,675$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.1228241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans34c4,500$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pelicans4c4,252$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57fa…f093backed Pelicans35c4,067$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks62c3,972$2,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.7870951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans27c3,937$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.9677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans37c3,900$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.2446928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks74c3,601$2,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.781,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ad…662cbacked Pelicans34c3,482$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Pelicans30c3,311$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0014951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Bucks60c3,276$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.245950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Pelicans34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1617…6991backed Pelicans33c2,993$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a9…e300backed Pelicans37c2,879$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.731323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Bucks70c2,682$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.4630061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pelicans28c2,622$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.711,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Pelicans32c2,441$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.241428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Bucks75c2,284$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.924953.1%26 W · 23 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick70cpaid-25.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Bucks76c2,208$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.848827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks68c2,188$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Bucks74c2,024$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.5229643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pelicans26c2,005$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…44c4backed Pelicans33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Pelicans2c2,000$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Pelicans27c1,948$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5264531.1%14 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Pelicans22c1,567$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.923528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks72c1,515$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.4457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Bucks74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902060%12 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e26…1715backed Pelicans26c1,479$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5934747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a3…d687backed Pelicans37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks66c1,308$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Pelicans30c1,303$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0913638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…5b14backed Pelicans40c1,245$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.082030%6 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks78c1,235$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.221,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Bucks66c1,200$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4148540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans36c1,200$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans2c1,050$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.125502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Pelicans35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pelicans30c988.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks67c901.29$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…d81bbacked Pelicans22c899.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.963828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbd…65afbacked Pelicans35c865.6$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.791776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks68c861.17$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.5725865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans31c827.87$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans8c814.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.688783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks68c810.26$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac0d…0ed4backed Bucks76c793.1$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.11963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3226…321cbacked Bucks78c788.63$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Bucks75c777$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Bucks70c769.7$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.861,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks77c732.62$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9461345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2726…12c3backed Bucks77c710.48$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.486100%6 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23df…e23ebacked Pelicans34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed5…09f3backed Bucks67c700$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pelicans31c650.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.317047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans31c619.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks60c597$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Pelicans34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks70c565.89$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.721,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks70c559.1$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1850453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.