TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3503…b8babacked No66c28,154$18,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,601.975448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No58c14,852$8,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,589.9639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes38c13,391$5,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,360.897042.9%30 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No64c13,088$8,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,384.495754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No65c11,494$7,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,470.8212359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No61c11,466$7,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,015.4236851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes80c10,965$8,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.339244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Yes35c10,075$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,524.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No65c10,034$6,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,521.878748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes36c9,117$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,834.961850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Yes34c9,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+130.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes37c7,349$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,649.624425%11 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…aaf4backed Yes26c6,400$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,760250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+95.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No53c6,339$3,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,367333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d2…cfb1backed Yes34c5,478$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,615.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes35c4,095$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.440222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes37c4,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.055731.6%18 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No12c4,017$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.842718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes34c3,975$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.331070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+107.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No67c3,544$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.735853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed No68c2,914$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No52c2,741$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.7830754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes27c2,735$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.293036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…cf40backed Yes34c2,600$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c2,400$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64120948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c2,400$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes36c2,398$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.54436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No74c2,380$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.729350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes33c2,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes37c2,177$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.181421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a3…0252backed Yes36c1,981$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.75540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes35c1,651$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea8c…ef09backed No64c1,632$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…63cdbacked Yes35c1,568$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No64c1,430$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.3317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x242c…75bebacked No65c1,371$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…1e5dbacked Yes35c1,371$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes32c1,323$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.05988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+95.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes34c1,321$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.641861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed Yes35c1,300$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+79.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb853…d55abacked Yes35c1,285$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes34c1,221$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.5910330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No64c1,128$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Yes36c1,109$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c1,068$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.4246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,027$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.2415250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64013847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66012921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8773…302fbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6502352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Yes36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65019453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes37c817.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.792528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes36c701.74$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.0513139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No64c688.97$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9429136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes36c622.81$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.61637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2edf…8475backed Yes36c610.02$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes29c580$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.95764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes34c565.95$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5912956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.568638.4%33 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.568433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d0b…339fbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd95…c206backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+702.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7581…9679backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.541643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Yes33c499.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes35c479.6$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.748142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2568040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes34c399.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.994531.1%14 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No77c389.89$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3711070%77 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…1730backed Yes21c388.89$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.892441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x984b…9338backed Yes36c372.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5a…4902backed Yes34c369$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No63c353.34$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3816836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…b65cbacked Yes76c350$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes36c347.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.22887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick53cpaid+58.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Yes34c326.47$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.473040%12 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes35c325$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.751450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No64c321.41$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.1315153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadff…e3f3backed Yes35c319.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes32c315.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.885242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No64c314.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0728357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No68c309.09$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.653828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19210743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes33c300$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e2…a27ebacked Yes64c300$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No64c299.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9823942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…8559backed Yes34c295.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+42.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a01…2d14backed No66c295$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x968d…e3b6backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked No65c291.82$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.071643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c41…97c1backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97fa…ac91backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b3…4f0abacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7820133.8%68 W · 133 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.786254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…9f26backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.