TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x679e…66d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 60 out of 100; worst F1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42.01
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$38.11
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$61.95
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$294.25
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$473.99
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$338.8
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$178.52
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$398.6
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$247.26
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$65.27
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$27.74
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$57.99
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$27.97
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+150%+$17.01
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Enron launch a token in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+31.2%+$20.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.