Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ea693fbb162922fd59003cba9eef22b631432d02ead9db49879dcdc62df399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 57c | 7,294$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,132.07 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,996$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.76 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 45c | 1,841$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.31 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked No | 44c | 1,786$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 1,685$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.34 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,529$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.29 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 58c | 1,062$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 58c | 463.98$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 45c | 354$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed No | 56c | 298.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 42c | 295.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 23c | 259.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 27c | 252$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 64c | 242.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 17c | 230.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 30c | 200.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…8d31backed No | 53c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 41c | 193.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 28c | 177.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 71c | 150$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…7868backed Yes | 42c | 135$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…14debacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 113.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…74c3backed No | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x17ec…032fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 62c | 80.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 26c | 75.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 41c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…558fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…51e2backed Yes | 40c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…45b3backed No | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…91a7backed Yes | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…2b1abacked No | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…d8fabacked No | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…2667backed Yes | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 66c | 57.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…d388backed Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…c5dbbacked Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…e5d8backed Yes | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…3f15backed Yes | 35c | 48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…023cbacked Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5394…54d5backed Yes | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 47c | 44.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…8433backed Yes | 49c | 43.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…2596backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…ef74backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2d…ced6backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…2156backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…284bbacked Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…b664backed Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77a…a9cebacked Yes | 48c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…d244backed No | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…88cabacked Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…4811backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…1278backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…3c02backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…b3abbacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…0ff7backed No | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…4a2dbacked Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1799backed No | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…2706backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa508…7c6fbacked No | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…200ebacked No | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…ce02backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…c3a5backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…378cbacked No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…0416backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…5cb2backed No | 58c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d8…f853backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…7dedbacked No | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b9…9695backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…e578backed No | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…b3c2backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…b05abacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…7a11backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…d2a2backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…b6c1backed Yes | 45c | 22.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c3…8e89backed Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…2a96backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…aeedbacked Yes | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a35…4df1backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…f947backed Yes | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…c8fcbacked Yes | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…94c7backed Yes | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?this page
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 50-60 min?No won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 60-70 min?No won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 70-80 min?No won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.