Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 70-80 min?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bfb199d012368d3fea3ff101687f7952d732e557f57ad7b23ca6d6707444495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 76c | 3,614$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.58 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 2c | 3,529$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +203.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,526$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 28c | 550$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 26c | 407.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 22c | 354$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 23c | 346.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c6…b553backed No | 65c | 252$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2641…3612backed Yes | 22c | 247.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 79c | 224.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f9…9782backed No | 72c | 224$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…79e4backed Yes | 28c | 215$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 68c | 195.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 24c | 193.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 19c | 180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 35c | 173.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 79c | 167.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…ab6abacked Yes | 35c | 163$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…bb19backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked Yes | 21c | 144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 77c | 130.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…8bcfbacked Yes | 28c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 33c | 108.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0538…40f3backed Yes | 19c | 102.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 79c | 101.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…43dfbacked Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7338…2d40backed No | 72c | 94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…368fbacked Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6dcebacked Yes | 35c | 89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…5faebacked Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…7480backed Yes | 24c | 84.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…1488backed No | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…468cbacked No | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…05e4backed No | 72c | 74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 72c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…ee90backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…a028backed No | 79c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…ea9fbacked Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…65dfbacked Yes | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b04…319dbacked Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 35c | 57.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb9…b523backed No | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9d55backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…7855backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…3da6backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed7…c106backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…aadebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…a43cbacked Yes | 33c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…f192backed Yes | 25c | 47.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaa…cab1backed Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 25c | 45.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…a756backed No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35f…668ebacked Yes | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6d…c10fbacked Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…bf8abacked No | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…4734backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…f1babacked No | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 32.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…959abacked Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…72ffbacked No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…c9a2backed No | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…0813backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…140fbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…1f0fbacked No | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…6405backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…f070backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…6485backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb488…0995backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…2cb5backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…ba2abacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…ef3bbacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f2…b9f5backed No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…793fbacked No | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…d84ebacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…2b43backed No | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…bad3backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…fb33backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…5d5fbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea92…c930backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…d388backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 70-80 min?this page
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 50-60 min?No won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 60-70 min?No won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be 80 min or more?Yes won
- Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.