World Politics · resolved market
Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacca589559453d60180cac1b03aa72fcb8c515d39ae2d9a66afc70041f4a2d35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,723,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,881,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,723,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd235…dffebacked No | 66c | 93,476$61,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,694.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…807ebacked Yes | 34c | 93,476$31,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,694.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 7c | 72,247$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.67 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…2b98backed Yes | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…6613backed No | 67c | 50,000$33,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 9c | 46,224$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…02f0backed Yes | 71c | 46,211$32,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,401.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…f339backed No | 29c | 46,211$13,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,401.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 8c | 37,174$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967.46 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 7c | 29,668$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.33 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 3c | 25,800$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.4 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 5c | 22,304$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 17,457$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 5c | 15,407$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 31c | 15,109$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,428 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…b52ebacked Yes | 73c | 13,791$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 3c | 13,591$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3ec6backed No | 5c | 13,112$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 12,151$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 5c | 11,720$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.54 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 11,194$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.78 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 76c | 9,498$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.52 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 5c | 8,771$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked No | 6c | 8,543$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…3904backed No | 4c | 8,423$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.34 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…6ce0backed Yes | 79c | 8,308$6,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…ee7fbacked No | 5c | 8,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 26c | 6,935$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.18 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 70c | 6,649$4,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,647.03 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…aff5backed Yes | 69c | 5,721$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 73c | 5,578$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 4c | 5,291$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…4aaebacked No | 6c | 5,267$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…6ee8backed No | 12c | 5,262$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed No | 6c | 4,726$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.51 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d0…b0c5backed No | 6c | 4,617$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,073$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 9c | 3,842$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 75c | 3,151$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 25c | 3,002$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.45 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…64ecbacked Yes | 47c | 2,640$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…c435backed No | 6c | 2,520$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 66c | 2,516$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.99 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 69c | 2,500$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 11c | 2,201$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 9c | 2,030$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…4ccebacked No | 5c | 1,945$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,943$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 7c | 1,900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,888$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 9c | 1,828$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 32c | 1,767$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.89 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 15c | 1,755$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 4c | 1,647$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 41c | 1,604$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.13 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…0c31backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…6629backed No | 18c | 1,427$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 5c | 1,414$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked Yes | 50c | 1,400$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 19c | 1,246$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.54 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…e3babacked No | 5c | 1,236$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 8c | 1,187$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…1fe9backed Yes | 36c | 1,185$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…4b19backed Yes | 34c | 1,135$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 1,120$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 36c | 1,118$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.07 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed Yes | 31c | 1,071$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,008$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…57b7backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 10c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 988$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.15 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…fad4backed Yes | 55c | 972.44$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 965.11$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.9 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 65c | 932.75$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.46 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 61c | 925$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…9a0cbacked Yes | 34c | 883.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 50c | 873.23$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 39c | 769$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 34c | 749.79$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…ec33backed Yes | 34c | 700$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…3b4bbacked Yes | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed No | 66c | 682.69$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked No | 14c | 681.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…aa13backed Yes | 80c | 647.15$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 80c | 638.1$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…5356backed Yes | 79c | 635.23$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…6f75backed No | 5c | 633.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…870fbacked No | 48c | 622.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…4e43backed Yes | 36c | 558.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…31acbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d5…2a38backed Yes | 36c | 550.34$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 63c | 550$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 5c | 533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.