World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ee05f7e72b70b22a997fe95d0392e32729e48d5d1169965560213944b04680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,024,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $907,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 31c | 63,528$19,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,968.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 7c | 62,726$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.59 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 23c | 54,928$12,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,840.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…0967backed Yes | 70c | 47,055$32,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,783 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 2c | 39,874$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.68 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 4c | 28,679$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 12c | 26,697$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.68 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 4c | 22,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.99 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 21,450$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.32 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 4c | 21,073$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.92 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 5c | 19,586$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.03 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked Yes | 65c | 19,318$12,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,559.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 69c | 13,930$9,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,612.4 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 77c | 10,844$8,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,528.41 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Yes | 4c | 10,481$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…635cbacked Yes | 8c | 9,832$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 6c | 9,043$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.19 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 57c | 8,440$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.73 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 5c | 8,288$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed Yes | 5c | 7,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 24c | 7,051$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 70c | 7,044$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ed51backed Yes | 10c | 7,016$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431d…8fdebacked Yes | 4c | 6,915$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…4aaebacked Yes | 5c | 5,992$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea4…02d5backed Yes | 4c | 5,989$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 11c | 5,958$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 6c | 5,953$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 59c | 5,314$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.99 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…0144backed Yes | 6c | 5,303$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…3904backed Yes | 6c | 5,286$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.52 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…21f5backed Yes | 20c | 5,067$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 35c | 4,949$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.42 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,660$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…9aa4backed Yes | 6c | 4,537$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,511$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.56 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…6a98backed Yes | 19c | 4,358$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 4c | 4,291$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.61 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,997$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.46 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 11c | 3,996$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 8c | 3,919$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.35 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…70c0backed Yes | 5c | 2,993$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…e2c1backed Yes | 65c | 2,927$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 2,875$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d212backed Yes | 1c | 2,767$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,765$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…ea12backed Yes | 6c | 2,740$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 56c | 2,554$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.33 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 35c | 2,420$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…8430backed Yes | 2c | 2,400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 38c | 2,296$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.52 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,155$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 26c | 2,125$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.5 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2ea4backed Yes | 17c | 1,882$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 17c | 1,818$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 78c | 1,795$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.17 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 32c | 1,790$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.72 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 61c | 1,769$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 23c | 1,746$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 20c | 1,634$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 15c | 1,540$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 33c | 1,519$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Yes | 64c | 1,515$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 10c | 1,466$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…aff5backed No | 78c | 1,450$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,350$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,315$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…53a5backed Yes | 18c | 1,235$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaf…8bc0backed No | 58c | 1,209$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,123$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec4…bf73backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…607cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…b6abbacked Yes | 29c | 1,078$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 5c | 1,060$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 64c | 1,050$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 8c | 1,041$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…870fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,039$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,008$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…7be7backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 59c | 993$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.69 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…7efdbacked Yes | 5c | 881.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…2ecfbacked Yes | 30c | 865.23$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 9c | 865$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed Yes | 21c | 850.02$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…bd6abacked Yes | 6c | 801.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…1e68backed Yes | 65c | 796.52$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 32c | 787.19$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 67c | 700$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 64c | 700$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…42dfbacked Yes | 19c | 690.26$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes won
- Will another party win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Greens win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.