AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6717957bac51da99b902db40ea990342556baf4c13ac3ac93098cad8f79a41be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 61c | 12,432$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,832.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 69c | 8,269$5,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b21…e02fbacked Yes | 45c | 7,706$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 49c | 6,013$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,938.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 5,466$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.71 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 53c | 5,416$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed No | 49c | 4,290$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 42c | 3,536$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…1d9fbacked Yes | 49c | 3,329$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…0d8abacked Yes | 40c | 3,199$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…e20bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,950$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 2,401$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.74 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 44c | 2,364$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.24 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 16c | 2,182$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 43c | 2,153$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.29 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 74c | 2,114$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf53…8743backed No | 60c | 2,109$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…4d3ebacked No | 53c | 1,899$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 36c | 1,889$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 2c | 1,825$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +104%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed No | 62c | 1,502$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…be2abacked Yes | 37c | 1,362$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 62c | 1,359$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf9…fceebacked Yes | 44c | 1,094$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed Yes | 49c | 1,073$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…665dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,073$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed Yes | 47c | 999.84$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 29c | 974.28$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.14 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 1c | 929$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 71c | 901.32$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.07 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…d13cbacked No | 61c | 823.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3415…3173backed No | 60c | 809.92$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked No | 48c | 717.17$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 11c | 697.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked No | 74c | 659.29$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 41c | 644.12$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 36c | 521.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed No | 62c | 500$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…085ebacked No | 55c | 484.63$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 458$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…7007backed No | 60c | 441.2$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 51c | 414.87$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…511bbacked Yes | 43c | 407.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 63c | 391.15$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 44c | 372.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…9b7cbacked Yes | 42c | 348.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…aeecbacked Yes | 36c | 308.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 300.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…f1b6backed No | 50c | 299.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…6f69backed No | 63c | 283.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 39c | 277.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 20c | 273.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 266.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a7…a852backed Yes | 56c | 264.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e13…1c2ebacked Yes | 56c | 253.66$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…21f1backed No | 60c | 247.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 12c | 240$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…7411backed No | 62c | 236.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…7539backed Yes | 43c | 236.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 40c | 236.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…34f3backed No | 62c | 234.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed Yes | 39c | 233.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 43c | 231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…7a74backed Yes | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf077…6f77backed Yes | 44c | 226.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…4d34backed Yes | 45c | 223.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked No | 70c | 219.65$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked No | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…4408backed No | 56c | 204.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd8…f68abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ff…83f1backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…30bfbacked Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…b390backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…27debacked Yes | 48c | 199.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 37c | 198.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +16.6wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 40c | 192.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 59c | 191.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 37c | 178.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…7d80backed Yes | 49c | 171.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed No | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +266.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 74c | 166.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x242a…cf4abacked Yes | 36c | 159.87$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6c86backed Yes | 63c | 158.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 66c | 158$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 45c | 152.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…6c85backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…6cf5backed No | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 62c | 139.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…e0c4backed Yes | 64c | 135.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…d219backed Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…fa88backed Yes | 27c | 116.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…b899backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…f94bbacked Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…f6aabacked Yes | 46c | 109.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fbf6backed Yes | 36c | 108.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.