Champions League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26989941dcf12df9b73c5852172df6ba8186c29998afda3ab29f4f73043e3caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 17c | 39,662$6,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,902 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 17c | 2,947$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 17c | 2,711$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 2,441$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.65 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes | 16c | 733.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 17c | 672.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 16c | 650.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 16c | 634.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 602.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a8…92aabacked Yes | 16c | 396.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 17c | 384.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 18c | 375.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…aba1backed Yes | 16c | 225$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 223.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…4425backed Yes | 15c | 216$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…f88ebacked Yes | 16c | 180.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…9f26backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…7fb6backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…f485backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes | 17c | 152.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…24fcbacked Yes | 16c | 145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 16c | 140.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f22…6a2bbacked Yes | 16c | 131$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…aa88backed Yes | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31b…07e0backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…5966backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…31ebbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes | 17c | 89.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…7c9dbacked Yes | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 18c | 80.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 17c | 73.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…3fbebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…2c69backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b3…03c7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…2898backed Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Yes | 17c | 59.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-03-05?this page
- Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.