Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce56c5077a15ca8367aa1975fd506c91d3093a334a728ad6254c60dca3ba317c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 50c | 33,796$16,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,898.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 50c | 31,970$15,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,984.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 48c | 10,587$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 10,287$7,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.96 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 10,108$5,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,163.92 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 49c | 5,094$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.12 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,027$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.62 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.9 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 37c | 2,452$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.15 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 50c | 2,100$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.96 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 5c | 1,743$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 54c | 1,062$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.93 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 57c | 1,042$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed No | 52c | 1,001$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 6c | 996$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 57c | 990.9$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.94 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 50c | 961.18$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.59 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 49c | 930.83$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.92 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 51c | 762.94$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 50c | 666$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…058fbacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…27b3backed No | 52c | 526.83$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 49c | 463.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.01 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 47c | 458.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 53c | 385.11$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 52c | 381.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.96 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 11c | 373$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 51c | 350$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 51c | 327$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 51c | 302.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 52c | 300.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 51c | 299.93$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 6c | 299$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 68c | 288.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 51c | 258.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.02 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 50c | 249.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 48c | 249$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed No | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 50c | 213.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…6ed0backed Yes | 49c | 205.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 51c | 194.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…670abacked Yes | 49c | 144.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…d3c4backed No | 54c | 140.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…76efbacked Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…2cefbacked Yes | 51c | 121.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 53c | 120.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…9ed2backed No | 54c | 117.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 52c | 115.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…8cc6backed No | 55c | 115.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…a6e2backed Yes | 48c | 115.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…5391backed Yes | 49c | 113.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe985…8f5ebacked No | 55c | 107.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Yes | 48c | 105.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…216dbacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked No | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…46b6backed No | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 86.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…560abacked No | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 83.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…0801backed Yes | 52c | 82.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed Yes | 49c | 81.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…48eabacked No | 50c | 67.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…f925backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d4…fbd8backed No | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Yes | 52c | 60.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff0…eec6backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…6d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 49c | 54.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?this page
- Will PSV Eindhoven vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-03-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.