F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd661c5fc2ed48bac084d4232816c244ceb2b6f8c21ff012bf5a6c2da66c702a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 0c | 19,074$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 16c | 8,795$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.79 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 8c | 8,169$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.69 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 7,487$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.79 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 26c | 4,323$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.17 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 72c | 4,132$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,933$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…e319backed Yes | 29c | 3,138$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 11c | 2,715$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,482$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 73c | 2,280$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 27c | 1,925$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.91 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed Yes | 16c | 1,396$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…72b6backed Yes | 15c | 1,309$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0ff5backed Yes | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 27c | 1,091$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 19c | 999.32$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 23c | 995.75$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 20c | 918.6$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 6c | 915.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 35c | 856.55$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…673fbacked No | 75c | 801.01$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8fbcbacked Yes | 5c | 785$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 70c | 630.24$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 623.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 17c | 620.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 13c | 604.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes | 27c | 602$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 27c | 554.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 5c | 539.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 22c | 528$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…9116backed Yes | 27c | 510.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 25c | 510$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Yes | 28c | 498.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23b…8b75backed Yes | 17c | 497.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…de5ebacked Yes | 27c | 475.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 18c | 470$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 20c | 454.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 5c | 443.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 26c | 442.29$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 17c | 416.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8a…f354backed Yes | 7c | 405.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…de79backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 16c | 399.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 372.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…20a4backed Yes | 17c | 320.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 28c | 304.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 27c | 291$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 39c | 256.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 27c | 255.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…7148backed Yes | 17c | 254$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 26c | 206.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…bbc2backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…6a55backed Yes | 7c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…a738backed Yes | 15c | 199.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 78c | 198.38$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 197.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 26c | 191$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…5791backed Yes | 37c | 185.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a58…6caebacked Yes | 27c | 182.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 18c | 166.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…e7b6backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…cf8cbacked Yes | 25c | 158.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…4ca1backed Yes | 27c | 155.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 25c | 146$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 26c | 143.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee23…7c48backed Yes | 12c | 135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73c…97fcbacked Yes | 31c | 133.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59d…9477backed Yes | 17c | 124.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…8cc3backed Yes | 42c | 120.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…0ae5backed Yes | 17c | 118.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…edd1backed Yes | 40c | 115.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…e268backed Yes | 12c | 112.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…eb20backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…74e3backed Yes | 18c | 111.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 28c | 107.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…564ebacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…5385backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 29c | 104.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 102$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…34febacked Yes | 19c | 100.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…da3ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…f190backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…d16dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 14c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked No | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another drive win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.