TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,051 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…98f5backed Yes4c3,000$105 inLost-$1052254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes4c1,344$59 inLost-$58.720843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc631…76f6backed Yes5c1,200$61 inLost-$60.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes4c1,183$53 inLost-$52.77329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0d…1744backed Yes5c1,059$53 inLost-$52.898427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a5…b36dbacked Yes6c833.57$50 inLost-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes4c800.28$32 inLost-$31.7215922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…6768backed Yes5c334.98$18 inLost-$18.35498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb583…35d9backed Yes6c303$18 inLost-$17.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Yes6c288.86$16 inLost-$16.0190%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fd…1e36backed Yes7c284.24$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes5c279.88$15 inLost-$14.912420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b15…569abacked Yes9c268$25 inLost-$25.351560%9 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0934…f376backed Yes5c260$12 inLost-$11.94566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe640…70bebacked Yes6c250.46$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes8c250$21 inLost-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9331…f494backed Yes5c249.99$12 inLost-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes5c203.05$11 inLost-$10.61150%0 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…3d8abacked Yes5c200$10 inLost-$101315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+179.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes6c199.99$11 inLost-$11.395717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.