F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfded8af2c2dde99ddd79ddad9a6225e065fb8f684a18bb4072ff32edd4f1703b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 0c | 47,630$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 60c | 11,706$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.34 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 9,288$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.15 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 39c | 8,565$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,255.34 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 38c | 6,001$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.67 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 53c | 5,369$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 18c | 5,311$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 10c | 3,680$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 33c | 3,507$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.74 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 6c | 2,111$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 64c | 1,851$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.46 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…a2c6backed Yes | 71c | 1,677$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabc…19b1backed Yes | 41c | 1,670$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 63c | 1,658$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 40c | 1,507$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 63c | 1,411$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.37 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 1,334$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.11 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 59c | 1,316$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.31 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 49c | 1,301$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.68 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 61c | 1,292$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.62 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,248$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 37c | 1,028$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.32 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 63c | 907.84$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed No | 36c | 859.34$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.38 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…b7e2backed No | 70c | 815.87$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 64c | 756.36$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed No | 63c | 749.98$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 64c | 699.34$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.46 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 39c | 582.05$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 37c | 559.11$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 60c | 493.29$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 470.01$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 64c | 450$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 61c | 441.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 38c | 422$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 4c | 422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 16c | 399.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 61c | 396.12$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 35c | 363.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 62c | 361.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…569abacked Yes | 35c | 360$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…bb83backed Yes | 36c | 351.59$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 40c | 350.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 61c | 348.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 48c | 322.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.39 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 34c | 291.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 39c | 291$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 37c | 269.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 60c | 253.33$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 42c | 245.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 34c | 233.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 20c | 225$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 63c | 206.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 69c | 206.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…d326backed No | 66c | 202.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…5b38backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…d035backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 27c | 180$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 38c | 170.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…5febbacked Yes | 31c | 169.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 42c | 160.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed No | 67c | 141.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…5205backed Yes | 39c | 137.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1457…e1f6backed Yes | 34c | 137.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed No | 33c | 134.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 63c | 132.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 70c | 122.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 37c | 119.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 39c | 114.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…7750backed No | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…5e8fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…7177backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd52…f190backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…c887backed Yes | 44c | 98.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9878…aebbbacked Yes | 79c | 93.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Yes | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 39c | 85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…c236backed Yes | 37c | 81.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…07e0backed No | 64c | 80.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa86…147ebacked No | 63c | 79.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed No | 63c | 79.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another drive win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.