TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes3c4,941$155 inLost-$155.4120843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes9c2,649$245 inLost-$244.5515922%35 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes3c2,251$74 inLost-$74.287433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes5c2,097$104 inLost-$103.56329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfafa…3947backed Yes6c2,000$114 inLost-$114922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7329…6768backed Yes6c1,975$118 inLost-$118.25498.2%4 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes5c1,150$57 inLost-$56.531233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb06…72b6backed Yes5c615.66$30 inLost-$301020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-46.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0647…8f61backed Yes9c555.15$50 inLost-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes8c554.06$45 inLost-$45.018529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes5c430.35$22 inLost-$22.212420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f2…bbc2backed Yes5c407.25$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…92c6backed Yes5c377.17$19 inLost-$18.584015%6 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes7c373.08$25 inLost-$254040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…93bdbacked Yes8c335.77$26 inLost-$25.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost-$205337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Yes5c314.25$15 inLost-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fd…1e36backed Yes7c304.67$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$11.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes6c200$12 inLost-$121553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes6c199.99$13 inLost-$12.612419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814a…25adbacked Yes9c150$14 inLost-$13.52236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes10c111.21$11 inLost-$11.1212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fb…36c8backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-64.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa4…35d4backed Yes20c51$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No80c31$25 inWon+$6.21872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.