Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd700b02eaa8ad7fd30c21b2c9f752ed6d38d42b33016a96e529105e038c298a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdaee…be17backed Yes | 23c | 10,032$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…95bebacked No | 77c | 9,998$7,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 68c | 4,771$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.48 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 21c | 2,170$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 14c | 1,766$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 23c | 967.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked No | 76c | 953.7$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 76c | 950.86$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.21 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 80c | 861.81$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 75c | 821.13$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 819.78$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 77c | 766.98$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 35c | 562.74$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…a947backed Yes | 25c | 560.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…3b86backed Yes | 23c | 513.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…dd66backed No | 77c | 513.8$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 6c | 504.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 35c | 488.57$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…d5e7backed Yes | 35c | 452.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 395.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6246…af18backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 24c | 350$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…5f9dbacked No | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 24c | 293.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…8defbacked Yes | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc0…bcb0backed Yes | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 78c | 240.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…c47fbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Yes | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…d845backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…a8acbacked No | 78c | 168.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 36c | 161.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 24c | 158.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…38bfbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…c980backed No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked No | 78c | 97.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 89.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 35c | 89.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 76c | 83.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 77c | 70.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6613…144abacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 76c | 63.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 24c | 63.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 28c | 63.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…4942backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…08fabacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…058fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…f19dbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes | 27c | 48.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 70c | 36.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…b99fbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?Yes won
- Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.