Champions League · resolved market
Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa140b022455d5b876703d6bb535fa703a160f98ddf57731a95cba405bf963b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 9,304$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.25 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…6217backed Yes | 24c | 9,100$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…764bbacked No | 76c | 9,100$6,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 27c | 7,955$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.04 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 80c | 7,300$5,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed No | 75c | 3,983$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.23 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb2…3f22backed No | 74c | 3,744$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…470ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,744$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Yes | 24c | 3,461$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…4689backed No | 73c | 3,002$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…b1ffbacked No | 74c | 2,295$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…a933backed Yes | 26c | 2,295$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2bc3backed Yes | 25c | 2,200$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 75c | 2,154$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,105$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 54c | 1,656$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 26c | 1,397$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd131…ba36backed No | 74c | 1,371$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 48c | 1,308$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 1,272$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Yes | 26c | 1,070$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…59d0backed Yes | 26c | 1,056$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a6…5c40backed No | 74c | 1,056$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 21.7%28 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed No | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Yes | 25c | 959.72$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 915.18$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.95 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…0b75backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked No | 77c | 715$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 27c | 703.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 73c | 688.31$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed No | 76c | 683.41$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…5755backed No | 74c | 673.7$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…1e5dbacked Yes | 26c | 673.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…35adbacked No | 76c | 669.71$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed No | 76c | 606.17$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763f…81e9backed No | 76c | 569.18$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 500$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 76c | 459.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 415.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed No | 77c | 318.18$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 48c | 310.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 34c | 306.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 12c | 286.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…8c67backed Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ca…6adfbacked No | 75c | 278.75$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2caf…239ebacked Yes | 27c | 274.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…3e35backed Yes | 27c | 274.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…9f44backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c6…21bfbacked No | 76c | 262.47$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…1f86backed Yes | 28c | 261.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 49c | 242.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…d3c4backed Yes | 27c | 241.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0015…1daebacked Yes | 13c | 231.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 51c | 219.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 77c | 209.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…b1d9backed No | 75c | 207$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 200.04$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…f0bbbacked No | 73c | 191.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 28c | 182.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…1996backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…77bdbacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…cf43backed Yes | 25c | 178$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…6165backed Yes | 18c | 163.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 73c | 159.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x679e…66d1backed Yes | 27c | 155.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1611…f542backed No | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…dc74backed No | 75c | 141.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 132.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 25c | 129.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…de6fbacked Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…1b8cbacked Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 53c | 104.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0d…9f3bbacked Yes | 25c | 103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…f485backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…e7cabacked Yes | 25c | 99.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benfica win on 2025-03-05?this page
- Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?Yes won
- Will Benfica vs. Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.