AI · resolved market
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedecff2ebfe6cd86e6f78da7ad773a86f5d31b8d9a449a5a660aaa3637c35ba5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $478,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 5c | 52,592$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.85 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…f94dbacked Yes | 14c | 50,251$7,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,257.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…e3b9backed Yes | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 10c | 15,568$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.81 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6310backed Yes | 58c | 12,105$7,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,008.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 11,962$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.22 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…8d41backed Yes | 3c | 11,472$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 13c | 10,082$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.58 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 4c | 8,461$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 8c | 7,375$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,043$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…c419backed Yes | 12c | 5,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…f530backed Yes | 8c | 5,287$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…89f3backed Yes | 4c | 5,034$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8e…97adbacked Yes | 17c | 3,853$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…4c47backed Yes | 3c | 3,809$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…4d1fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,727$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…32c3backed Yes | 6c | 3,661$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,563$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9908…0dbcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,534$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6045…65f1backed Yes | 4c | 3,456$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 10c | 3,394$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 14c | 3,360$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 35c | 3,275$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.97 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…b2e5backed Yes | 5c | 3,260$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 7c | 3,247$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 7c | 3,240$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 4c | 3,122$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5de0backed Yes | 17c | 2,938$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 7c | 2,821$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…a840backed Yes | 6c | 2,812$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…91dcbacked Yes | 5c | 2,796$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…bafabacked Yes | 13c | 2,774$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +497.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked No | 30c | 2,767$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,762$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…8aeebacked Yes | 2c | 2,746$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…6da6backed Yes | 4c | 2,646$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 4c | 2,609$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…17e1backed Yes | 8c | 2,594$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…9b21backed Yes | 3c | 2,545$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 5c | 2,489$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9137…fbd3backed Yes | 4c | 2,277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e6…beb9backed Yes | 18c | 2,259$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,206$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…5fddbacked Yes | 4c | 2,151$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 4c | 2,121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 68c | 2,089$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…3adfbacked Yes | 12c | 2,047$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Yes | 5c | 1,901$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 4c | 1,900$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,896$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…543fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,889$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…2bb6backed Yes | 11c | 1,872$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 13c | 1,818$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 12c | 1,806$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.78 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 5c | 1,791$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,734$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…94bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,687$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 5c | 1,653$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 5c | 1,603$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…248fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,591$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393b…91f8backed Yes | 10c | 1,555$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +1,494.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Yes | 9c | 1,536$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 12c | 1,514$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…e7eebacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…ddf2backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed Yes | 8c | 1,481$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…d7d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,463$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…a9febacked Yes | 7c | 1,441$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5200backed Yes | 4c | 1,409$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…d1bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,372$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…7da0backed Yes | 4c | 1,357$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031f…14bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,342$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…7863backed Yes | 4c | 1,289$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…7b5cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,273$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 9c | 1,256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdf…3b40backed Yes | 26c | 1,208$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.02 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…83d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,199$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…520abacked Yes | 5c | 1,175$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…5579backed Yes | 11c | 1,172$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…fd6cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,171$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…c013backed Yes | 6c | 1,149$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c1…e575backed Yes | 11c | 1,129$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,122$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0933…6515backed Yes | 6c | 1,120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…145dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,118$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 2c | 1,112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0522backed Yes | 14c | 1,109$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,095$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…c74cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,085$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…13a4backed Yes | 16c | 1,068$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 4c | 1,040$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,029$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…ba4dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,007$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.