AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82cc9762eb034e4d9196106daefe747600c154d5014f8f292138b483150d789c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 27,670$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.3 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3017…8d41backed Yes | 1c | 21,110$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 0c | 17,751$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 5c | 15,700$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 79c | 14,788$11,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,638.68 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…c013backed Yes | 1c | 12,828$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3979…f49ebacked Yes | 1c | 12,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…a121backed Yes | 3c | 10,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8db…91dcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,464$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 25c | 10,440$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,845.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +506.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…de78backed Yes | 0c | 9,333$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 1c | 8,250$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 2c | 8,032$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66b…0b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,422$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 0c | 7,362$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…951bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,135$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…8cf1backed Yes | 3c | 6,858$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…366fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,520$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 6,290$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 6,278$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Yes | 77c | 6,055$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,663.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…3584backed No | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…9fcebacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6310backed No | 58c | 5,926$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd6…725fbacked Yes | 48c | 5,863$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 23c | 5,728$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes | 7c | 5,201$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 61c | 5,111$3,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 38c | 4,783$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.27 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 49c | 4,470$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.01 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Yes | 52c | 4,468$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cd…a8f8backed Yes | 0c | 4,169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 60c | 3,803$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,727$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 66c | 3,719$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.03 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 0c | 3,683$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked Yes | 3c | 3,622$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,463$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 77c | 3,258$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.49 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…c208backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed Yes | 16c | 2,999$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.67 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 45c | 2,739$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.18 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd2…e01abacked Yes | 2c | 2,678$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed No | 32c | 2,072$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8885backed Yes | 1c | 2,055$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…94bcbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbee…e8b5backed No | 20c | 1,995$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…1898backed Yes | 71c | 1,991$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…512dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,984$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…9d1cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,982$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,943$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 65c | 1,839$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 11c | 1,830$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0a…e101backed Yes | 1c | 1,823$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…6f69backed Yes | 2c | 1,796$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed No | 33c | 1,789$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 12c | 1,690$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.77 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…6810backed Yes | 2c | 1,648$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 69c | 1,641$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 1,599$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.09 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 29c | 1,503$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 7c | 1,466$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed No | 13c | 1,241$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 25c | 1,217$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.76 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…9480backed Yes | 68c | 1,173$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…233bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 64c | 1,117$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,109$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…5ef7backed Yes | 40c | 1,065$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…0cf7backed No | 21c | 1,050$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 5c | 1,039$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…956cbacked No | 24c | 1,026$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +1,130.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…d766backed No | 37c | 1,000$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1c…4405backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…4827backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…7630backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…e44bbacked Yes | 68c | 931.68$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…b4bbbacked No | 18c | 873.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +465.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3762…7ff4backed Yes | 78c | 837.6$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…02d6backed Yes | 1c | 831.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 64c | 831.89$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.65 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 70c | 816.46$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.35 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 60c | 769.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 3c | 732.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 36c | 712.17$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +718.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 48c | 674.7$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 67c | 673.14$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ff…fc59backed Yes | 4c | 669.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 74c | 634.79$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 2c | 610$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 10c | 608.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…4671backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…693abacked Yes | 3c | 576.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 50c | 570$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…d77ebacked Yes | 5c | 557.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will StepFun have the top AI model on February 28?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.