TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ee6…693a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2025, EDT5424.1%13 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$27.12
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 84-85°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$26
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 82-83°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on April 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT+237.8%+$70.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on April 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on April 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 53-54°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2025, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 900-949 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.01
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+48.4%+$9.67
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 14-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+89.8%+$16.16
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.04
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+100.4%+$25.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.33
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Torres vs. Doberbacked Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.