TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Torres vs. Dober

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Torresof Torres, Dober
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Torres50c43,476$21,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,525.8635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Dober50c30,625$15,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,20016049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Dober45c27,899$12,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,633.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Dober49c27,647$13,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,596.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef38…ae8cbacked Torres55c13,000$7,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8526453.1%34 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Dober47c12,516$5,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.552437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Torres51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9006050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Torres55c7,172$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.5410542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Dober49c6,314$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Torres52c5,200$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49624356.8%138 W · 105 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Dober2c4,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90619.8%6 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Torres51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9603857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Torres51c3,751$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.046262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Torres53c3,627$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.563441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Torres58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605870.7%41 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Torres52c2,631$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Dober49c2,453$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202.22147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dober42c2,317$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.6942042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Torres54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9203161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Dober50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc822…c185backed Dober47c1,980$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Torres53c1,919$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.174151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Torres52c1,510$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.4811844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Dober45c1,408$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.641040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3b…b99abacked Torres54c1,105$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Torres55c1,009$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.096462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Torres50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Torres54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46023537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Dober1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dober46c850$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39135539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Torres51c803.09$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.09650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74be…4e55backed Torres54c740$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Torres53c709$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2333253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Torres52c702.81$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3518560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Dober47c666$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.026943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…f46bbacked Torres52c653.85$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+93.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Torres52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28812159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Dober47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25035664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Torres54c510.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.691947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Torres51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24532545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f0…e173backed Torres50c450$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2235536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf587…1419backed Torres54c435.38$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Torres50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dober47c397.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.518038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Torres51c388.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.684341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Dober6c374.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Dober48c347.44$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.778851.1%45 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Dober48c342.31$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.312857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Dober50c335.17$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.545642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dober46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…c62abacked Dober47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Dober51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15319531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…4db9backed Dober47c299.99$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Dober46c250$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Torres55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.537754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Torres54c232$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7210452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dober49c226$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.614355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dober44c225.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1e23backed Dober45c221.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Dober48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9528743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095f…41b7backed Dober48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Dober51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014130.5%43 W · 98 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf036…9c9fbacked Torres53c190.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Dober49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.247452.7%39 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b3e…5958backed Dober51c169.02$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x896d…df2fbacked Torres59c168.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Torres54c138.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8910040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Torres55c130.36$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.663158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf7e…e5e9backed Torres50c130$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef1…16bebacked Torres55c127.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Dober47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.49352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Dober51c119.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.015858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0682…4250backed Torres54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Dober49c107$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.848060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Torres56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fff…c9dabacked Dober49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Torres54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Torres50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0679…bebbbacked Dober47c95.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Dober49c90.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4656450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dober50c78.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3914751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9789…21d1backed Torres52c68.85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2537…e959backed Dober47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed Torres53c60.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.755742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78f2…51a1backed Dober50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ce…1778backed Dober48c55.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.447233.3%24 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Torres54c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.352252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Torres50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x465e…bf90backed Torres50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Dober47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.536745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Dober46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2348749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f4…7700backed Torres54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb7…75f4backed Torres54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237655.3%42 W · 34 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…fc02backed Dober47c46.04$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01f1…a76dbacked Torres50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Torres50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e49…3312backed Torres54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Torres54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.049737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Torres56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Dober50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9910439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.