UFC · resolved market
Torres vs. Dober
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc8f123c437e5d28184f3dcdecebbb261e29ceee537f0aa87b596aa88db3b704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Torres, Dober
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Torres | 50c | 43,476$21,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,525.86 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dober | 50c | 30,625$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Dober | 45c | 27,899$12,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Dober | 49c | 27,647$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,596.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Torres | 55c | 13,000$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Dober | 47c | 12,516$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.55 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Torres | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Torres | 55c | 7,172$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.54 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Dober | 49c | 6,314$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Torres | 52c | 5,200$2,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Dober | 2c | 4,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Torres | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Torres | 51c | 3,751$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.04 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Torres | 53c | 3,627$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Torres | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Torres | 52c | 2,631$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Dober | 49c | 2,453$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dober | 42c | 2,317$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.69 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Torres | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Dober | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed Dober | 47c | 1,980$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Torres | 53c | 1,919$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.17 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Torres | 52c | 1,510$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.48 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Dober | 45c | 1,408$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Torres | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Torres | 55c | 1,009$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.09 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Torres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Torres | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Dober | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dober | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Torres | 51c | 803.09$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Torres | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Torres | 53c | 709$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.23 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Torres | 52c | 702.81$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Dober | 47c | 666$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.02 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…f46bbacked Torres | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Torres | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Dober | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Torres | 54c | 510.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Torres | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Torres | 50c | 450$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…1419backed Torres | 54c | 435.38$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Torres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dober | 47c | 397.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Torres | 51c | 388.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Dober | 6c | 374.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Dober | 48c | 347.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Dober | 48c | 342.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Dober | 50c | 335.17$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dober | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Dober | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Dober | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Dober | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Dober | 46c | 250$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Torres | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Torres | 54c | 232$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dober | 49c | 226$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dober | 44c | 225.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Dober | 45c | 221.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Dober | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Dober | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Dober | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf036…9c9fbacked Torres | 53c | 190.47$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Dober | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…5958backed Dober | 51c | 169.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…df2fbacked Torres | 59c | 168.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Torres | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Torres | 55c | 130.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…e5e9backed Torres | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…16bebacked Torres | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Dober | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Dober | 51c | 119.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…4250backed Torres | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Dober | 49c | 107$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Torres | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Dober | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Torres | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Torres | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Dober | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Dober | 49c | 90.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dober | 50c | 78.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9789…21d1backed Torres | 52c | 68.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…e959backed Dober | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Torres | 53c | 60.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…51a1backed Dober | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Dober | 48c | 55.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Torres | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Torres | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Torres | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Dober | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Dober | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Torres | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Torres | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Dober | 47c | 46.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…a76dbacked Torres | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Torres | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…3312backed Torres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Torres | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Torres | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dober | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torres vs. Doberthis page
- Cháirez vs. VergaraCháirez won
- Emmers vs. MirandaEmmers won
- García vs. PichelGarcía won
- Godinez vs. PolastriGodinez won
- Martínez vs. OliveiraMartínez won
- Mederos vs. HubbardMederos won
- Medina vs. GautierGautier won
- Moreno vs. ErcegMoreno won
- Rodriguez vs. CostaCosta won
- Rodríguez vs. BorjasBorjas won
- Rosas Jr. vs. MoralesRosas Jr. won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.