TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf35f…c62a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 54 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$66.73
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+68.7%+$138.29
Bryce Mitchell vs. Jean Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.16
Jim Miller vs. Chase Hooperbacked Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$353.41
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowanbacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$72.89
Emmett vs. Murphybacked Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+37%+$94.5
Torres vs. Doberbacked Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
Cháirez vs. Vergarabacked Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$74.7
Rodriguez vs. Costabacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Godinez vs. Polastribacked Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
García vs. Pichelbacked Pichel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mederos vs. Hubbardbacked Mederos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$168
Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidzebacked Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$336
Alexander Hernandez vs. Kurt Holobaughbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$87.5
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.9
Green vs. Ruffybacked Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Joshua Van vs. Rei Tsuruyabacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$194.4
Brunno Ferreira vs. Armen Petrosyanbacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$159.5
Mairon Santos vs. Francis Marshallbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+35.4%+$62.8
Djorden Santos vs. Ozzy Diazbacked Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.22
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Song · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+39.2%+$81.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$85.55
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$181.98
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$141
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+81.8%+$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$211.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,186.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$488.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.