UFC · resolved market
de Ridder vs. Nickal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a768dc0ff8f35a1c052f2a8dc95265a76d555561fa29765e72ebece1cd4357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- de Ridderof de Ridder, Nickal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed de Ridder | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed de Ridder | 25c | 8,000$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.96 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…072bbacked Nickal | 77c | 6,190$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nickal | 76c | 4,923$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.77 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Nickal | 65c | 4,747$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.08 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nickal | 76c | 4,543$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.68 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nickal | 64c | 4,219$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.84 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked de Ridder | 24c | 4,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Nickal | 74c | 3,965$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.88 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked de Ridder | 26c | 3,841$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d622backed de Ridder | 26c | 3,840$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked de Ridder | 26c | 3,583$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed de Ridder | 26c | 3,100$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.5 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nickal | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked de Ridder | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Nickal | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nickal | 77c | 2,937$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nickal | 75c | 2,850$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.5 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…983cbacked Nickal | 79c | 2,777$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked de Ridder | 41c | 2,205$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.48 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed de Ridder | 21c | 2,015$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.98 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nickal | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nickal | 13c | 2,000$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed de Ridder | 24c | 1,928$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nickal | 72c | 1,857$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.21 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nickal | 75c | 1,779$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.53 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f88…4619backed Nickal | 73c | 1,461$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nickal | 76c | 1,403$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.28 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Nickal | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Nickal | 75c | 1,346$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.66 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nickal | 78c | 1,300$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.4 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Nickal | 75c | 1,271$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked de Ridder | 23c | 1,229$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.48 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…d3f0backed de Ridder | 27c | 1,107$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked de Ridder | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed de Ridder | 25c | 1,007$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked de Ridder | 27c | 1,002$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.38 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked de Ridder | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Nickal | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked de Ridder | 26c | 1,000$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked de Ridder | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked de Ridder | 22c | 874.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.32 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nickal | 75c | 834.52$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.1 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nickal | 74c | 826.84$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.75 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Nickal | 75c | 819.26$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.25 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Nickal | 72c | 800$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed de Ridder | 44c | 681.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.11 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Nickal | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Nickal | 76c | 574.17$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nickal | 72c | 520.64$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.87 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Nickal | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…674dbacked Nickal | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Nickal | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed de Ridder | 26c | 477.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked de Ridder | 28c | 473.28$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked de Ridder | 25c | 455.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed de Ridder | 26c | 447.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8df6…4462backed de Ridder | 24c | 441.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e00bbacked de Ridder | 24c | 435$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…06acbacked Nickal | 77c | 432.47$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed de Ridder | 23c | 427.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.5 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…33c6backed Nickal | 75c | 424.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…6c73backed de Ridder | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…13abbacked de Ridder | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked de Ridder | 24c | 414.67$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nickal | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed de Ridder | 24c | 405.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed de Ridder | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Nickal | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked de Ridder | 26c | 390.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…37b6backed de Ridder | 28c | 357.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Nickal | 71c | 350$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nickal | 74c | 342$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Nickal | 78c | 339.85$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Nickal | 77c | 325.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Nickal | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked Nickal | 78c | 300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Nickal | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…9142backed de Ridder | 28c | 295.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed de Ridder | 25c | 292.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.06 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked de Ridder | 49c | 274.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Nickal | 77c | 260$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Nickal | 68c | 258.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed de Ridder | 24c | 251.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Nickal | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed de Ridder | 31c | 227.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Nickal | 75c | 203$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…443dbacked de Ridder | 24c | 200.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nickal | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Nickal | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed de Ridder | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked de Ridder | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked de Ridder | 28c | 199.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked de Ridder | 30c | 192.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Nickal | 77c | 190$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed de Ridder | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…3600backed de Ridder | 27c | 184.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a54…c062backed Nickal | 73c | 179.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Nickal | 77c | 160$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Nickal | 75c | 157.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- de Ridder vs. Nickalthis page
- Bolanos vs. LeLe won
- Jackson vs. MarcosJackson won
- Loder vs. BekoevBekoev won
- Miller vs. PetrovićMiller won
- Petersen vs. MayesPetersen won
- Ponzinibbio vs. RodriguezRodriguez won
- Rodriguez vs. RobertsonRobertson won
- Sandhagen vs. FigueiredoSandhagen won
- Santos vs. TateSantos won
- Smotherman vs. Sidey Sidey won
- Stephens vs. JonesJones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.